Yen Sliding Again as DOW Ready to Resume Record Run
Action Insight Daily Report 10-20-21

Yen Sliding Again as DOW Ready to Resume Record Run

Yen continues to be under selling pressure, following the strong rally in US stocks overnight. Yen is additionally weighed down by rally in treasury yields. New Zealand Dollar is leading commodity currencies higher, while Australian and Canadian Dollars are also strong. Euro and Sterling are mixed for the moment, with Sterling having a slight upper hand. Inflation data are the focuses today and could prompt further rally in the Pound as well as Loonie.

Technically, we'd expect the selloff in Yen ahead. In particular, the decline could accelerate if US stock indexes could breakout to new record highs in the coming days. DOW is now close to 35631.19 high and firm break there will resume the medium term up trend from 18213.65. Nevertheless, break of 35023.63 support will indicate rejection by 35631.19 and bring pull back. Yen crosses could also follow in this case too.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.39%. Hong Kong HSI is up 1.31%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.03%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.01%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0045 at 0.095. Overnight, DOW rose 0.56%. S&P 500 rose 0.74%. NASDAQ rose 0.71%. 10-year yield rose 0.051 to 1.635.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.05; (P) 114.23; (R1) 114.56; More...

USD/JPY's rally continued and hit as high as 114.69 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 111.65 from 109.11 at 114.71 will pave the way to 100% projection at 118.18 next. However considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 113.87 minor support should indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back, to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 113.42) and below.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Sep 0.00% -0.30%
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Sep -0.62T -0.53T -0.27T -0.34T
06:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Sep 1.00% 1.50%
06:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Sep 12.70% 12.00%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Sep 0.40% 0.70%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Sep 3.20% 3.20%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Sep 3.10% 3.10%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Sep 0.20% 0.60%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Sep 4.70% 4.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Sep 0.80% 0.40%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Sep 11.60% 11.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Sep 0.90% 0.70%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Sep 6.80% 5.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Sep 0.90% 1.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Sep 5.80% 5.30%
08:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Aug 24.3B 21.6B
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Sep F 3.40% 3.40%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Sep F 1.90% 1.90%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Sep 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Sep 4.30% 4.10%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Sep 1.90% 1.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Sep 2.60% 2.60%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Sep 3.30% 3.30%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.1M 6.1M
18:00 USD Fed's Beige Book