Markets Soar on Tariff Truce, Reentry Signal or Perfect Exit Opportunity?

Action Insight Daily Report 4-10-25

Markets Soar on Tariff Truce, Reentry Signal or Perfect Exit Opportunity?

US stocks staged a powerful relief rally overnight, snapping back from the recent tariff-induced collapse. All three major indexes posted gains not seen in years, marking a dramatic reversal in sentiment. Yet, despite the scale of the rebound, it remains unclear whether this marks the beginning of genuine investor re-entry—or simply a massive short-covering rally triggered by a temporary policy U-turn.

What markets need now isn’t just a pause, but clarity and consistency. If the 90-day negotiation window devolves into more confusion, or if tariffs on China continue to escalate, the gains seen today could vanish just as quickly as they arrived.

The crux of the matter is whether yesterday’s rally represents just a reflexive bounce driven by short-covering and algorithmic momentum? With the market having been stretched to deeply oversold levels after recent collapse, the slightest spark was bound to trigger a sharp relief jump.

More improtantly, it is uncertain if long-term investors view this bounce as a reason to re-engage with US assets, or merely as an opportunity to exit at better levels. If the latter proves true, this rally could quickly fade into yet another bear market trap....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.5987; (P) 0.6081; (R1) 0.6249; More...

AUD/USD's rebound from 0.5913 extended higher, and it's now pressing 55 4H EMA (now at 0.6146). Sustained trading above there will should confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 0.6388 resistance. Nevertheless, rejection by the EMA, followed by break of 0.6057 minor support will bring retest of 0.5913 low, and resumption of larger fall from 0.6941 at a later stage.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Gold Prices Sparkle Again: Restarts Increase on Recession Fears

Fed Minutes Show Committee Struggling With Policy Uncertainty

EURGBP Wave Analysis

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Strategic Implications of “Liberation Day”
alt
U.S. Reciprocal Tariffs Spare Canada/Mexico for Now But Trade Risks Remain
alt
U.S. Liberation Day Binds The World To High Tariffs
alt
RBA Holds Rates as Expected, Seeks Confidence in an Uncertain World
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Mar 2% 8% 11%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Mar 2.80% 3.10% 3.10% 3.00%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Mar 4.20% 3.90% 4.00% 4.10%
01:30 CNY CPI M/M Mar -0.40% -0.20%
01:30 CNY CPI Y/Y Mar -0.10% 0.10% -0.70%
01:30 CNY PPI Y/Y Mar -2.50% -2.30% -2.20%
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Feb -0.90% -3.20%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 4) 222K 219K
12:30 USD CPI M/M Mar 0.20% 0.20%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Mar 2.50% 2.80%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Mar 0.30% 0.20%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Mar 3.00% 3.10%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 60B 29B