Safe Havens Surge, Treasury Rout Deepens, US Assets Hit by Relentless Selloff
| Action Insight Daily Report 4-11-25 |
Safe Havens Surge, Treasury Rout Deepens, US Assets Hit by Relentless Selloff |
The brief moment of optimism following the US tariff truce has quickly faded, as financial markets buckle again under renewed pressure. US stocks closed sharply lower overnight, wiping out a large portion of Wednesday’s historic rebound. The risk-off tone spilled into Asia, though unevenly—Japan saw steep losses, Singapore posted moderate declines, while Hong Kong and China held relatively steady. Overall, the ongoing huge volatility suggests that global markets are far from stabilizing. The trade war narrative has shifted into a far more dangerous phase. The US confirmed that tariffs on Chinese imports were immediately raised to 125% after China responded with an 84% rate of its own. That brings total US duties on Chinese goods to a staggering 145%. At these levels, the tariff figures themselves become much less relevant. The policy is signaling a structural decoupling of the world’s two largest economies. Yet, the most alarming development is unfolding in the US Treasury market as 10-year yield surged past 4.45% mark again in Asian trading. This sharp reversal from the temporary calm after the US paused some reciprocal tariffs for 90 days is stoking fears of deeper structural issues in bond markets. This trouble in Treasuries has drawn comparisons to the 2020 “dash-for-cash” and the 2022 UK gilt crisis.... |
USD/CHF Daily Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8120; (P) 0.8350; (R1) 0.8467; More… Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside as current selloff accelerates again. Break of 161.8% projection of 0.9196 to 0.8757 from 0.8854 at 0.8144 will target 200% projection at 0.7976 next. On the upside, above 0.8358 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline. | |
| GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised |
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| 22:30 | NZD | Business NZ PMI Mar | 53.2 | 53.9 | 54.1 | | 23:50 | JPY | Money Supply M2+CD Y/Y Mar | 0.80% | 1.20% | 1.20% | | 06:00 | EUR | Germany CPI M/M Mar F | 0.30% | 0.30% | | 06:00 | EUR | Germany CPI Y/Y Mar F | 2.20% | 2.20% | | 06:00 | GBP | GDP M/M Feb | 0.10% | -0.10% | | 06:00 | GBP | Industrial Production M/M Feb | 0.10% | -0.90% | | 06:00 | GBP | Industrial Production Y/Y Feb | -2.30% | -1.50% | | 06:00 | GBP | Manufacturing Production M/M Feb | 0.20% | -1.10% | | 06:00 | GBP | Manufacturing Production Y/Y Feb | -2.40% | -1.50% | | 06:00 | GBP | Index of Services 3M/3M Feb | 0.50% | 0.40% | | 06:00 | GBP | Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Feb | -17.9B | -17.8B | | 12:30 | USD | PPI M/M Mar | 0.20% | 0.00% | | 12:30 | USD | PPI Y/Y Mar | 3.30% | 3.20% | | 12:30 | USD | PPI Core M/M Mar | 0.30% | -0.10% | | 12:30 | USD | PPI Core Y/Y Mar | 3.60% | 3.40% | | 14:00 | USD | UoM Consumer Sentiment Apr P | 55 | 57 | | 14:00 | USD | UoM Inflation Expectations Apr P | 5.00% |
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