Markets Steady as Trade Headlines Stir Little Reaction

Action Insight Daily Report 4-29-25

Markets Steady as Trade Headlines Stir Little Reaction

Global trading remains subdued, with Japanese markets closed for Showa holiday and investors showing little urgency to take new positions. Canadian dollar saw some choppiness following election results, where the ruling Liberal Party retained power but fell short of a parliamentary majority. Despite the initial volatility, Loonie remained largely range-bound. Broader price action across currency markets has been lackluster, with traders largely holding off on bold moves ahead of major economic data releases later in the week.

Trade tensions continue to dominate headlines, though markets appear largely desensitized for now. Even news that the Trump administration is preparing to soften the impact of auto tariffs generated minimal reaction. According to reports, the White House plans to reduce the burden on domestic automakers by easing tariffs on imported parts and preventing overlapping duties on finished vehicles, particularly steel and aluminum. Refunds for tariffs already paid are also expected. A White House official confirmed the details, saying a formal announcement would come Tuesday.

The geopolitical side of trade is also evolving. Foreign ministers from the BRICS countries met to discuss a coordinated response to the latest wave of US tariffs. China, having faced the most severe hit with 145% tariffs on its exports to the US, pushed for a more confrontational stance. However, the final communique is expected to strike a critical yet restrained tone, signaling frustration without escalating tensions further.

Markets will keep an eye on today’s consumer sentiment releases from Germany and the US, although any impact may be fleeting. The next focus is on tomorrow’s releases of Eurozone and US GDP figures. With recession concerns resurfacing globally, these numbers could shape expectations for the next moves Fed and ECB.....

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AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6389; (P) 0.6412; (R1) 0.6456; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is back on the upside with breach of 0.6438. Rise from 0.5913 should be resuming for 61.8% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.5913 at 0.6548. However, firm break of 0.6343 support will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.6310) and below.

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Apr -0.10% -0.20% -0.40%
06:00 EUR Germany GfK Consumer Sentiment May -26 -24.5
08:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Mar 4.00% 4.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Apr 94.5 95.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Apr -10.7 -10.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Apr 2.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Apr F -16.7 -16.7
12:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) Mar P -146.3B -147.9B
12:30 USD Wholesale Inventories Mar P 0.70% 0.30%
13:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Y/Y Feb 4.80% 4.70%
13:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Feb 0.30% 0.20%
14:00 USD Consumer Confidence Apr 87.1 92.9