Cautious Mood in Asia as Markets Eye Trump-Xi Trade Call and Steel Tariff Fallout

Action Insight Daily 6-2-25

Cautious Mood in Asia as Markets Eye Trump-Xi Trade Call and Steel Tariff Fallout

Asian markets traded with a mild risk-off tone to start the week, though overall activity remains subdued due to holidays in China, Malaysia, and New Zealand. Nikkei is under pressure, weighed down by rising US-China trade tensions and US President Donald Trump's announcement of steeper steel tariffs. Hong Kong equities are also lower, reflecting regional unease. The muted mood extends to currency markets, where Dollar is softer, though the pullback remains modest. The Swiss Franc and Loonie are also on the weaker side, while Kiwi, Aussie, and Yen are firmer. Euro and Sterling are holding mid-pack.

On the trade front, US National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on Sunday that President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping could speak as soon as this week, raising hopes that communication channels remain open. "We expect a wonderful conversation about the trade negotiations," Hassett said, expressing optimism about renewed dialogue. However, last week’s heated rhetoric casts a long shadow. Trump accused Beijing of violating their preliminary trade deal, prompting a swift rebuttal from Chinese officials today, who insisted they had “strictly implemented” their commitments and decried the US claims as “seriously contrary to the facts.”

Further darkening the trade outlook, Trump announced late on Friday that tariffs on imported steel and aluminum will be doubled to 50% starting June 4, aiming to provide what he called “even further security” for the U.S. steel industry. The European Commission responded sharply over the weekend, warning that the move increases economic uncertainty and imposes higher costs on both sides of the Atlantic. Brussels confirmed it is prepared to retaliate, with countermeasures now under consideration. The threat of escalating tariff battles across multiple fronts continues to weigh on investor sentiment globally....

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AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6409; (P) 0.6431; (R1) 0.6454; More...

Range trading continues in AUD/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected with 0.6406 support intact. Above 0.6536 will resume the rally from 0.5913 to 61.8% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.5913 at 0.6548. However, firm break of 0.6406 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.5913 to 0.6536 at 0.6298.

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EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Capital Spending Q1 6.40% 3.80% -0.20%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI May 49.4 49 49
01:00 AUD TD-MI Inflation Gauge M/M May -0.40% 0.60%
06:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Apr 2.50% 2.20%
07:00 CHF GDP Q/Q Q1 0.40% 0.20%
07:30 CHF Manufacturing PMI May 48.1 45.8
07:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI May F 49.5 49.5
07:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI May F 48.8 48.8
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI May F 49.4 49.4
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI May F 45.1 45.1
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Apr 65K 64K
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Apr 0.20% 0.30%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI May 45.3
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI May F 52.3 52.3
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI May 49.3 48.7
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid May 70.2 69.8
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index May 46.5
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Apr 0.30% -0.50%