Dollar Lacks Follow Through Buying after Fed's Hawkish Cut
Action Insight Daily Report 9-19-19

Dollar Lacks Follow Through Buying after Fed's Hawkish Cut

The stock markets are mixed after the hawkish rate cut by Fed overnight but treasury yields are back under pressure. Dollar rose mildly after the announcement but there was no follow through buying. Yen surges broadly today, riding on falling yields, followed by Swiss Franc. Australian Dollar is the weakest one on rise in unemployment rate, followed by New Zealand Dollar.

Technically, AUD/USD's break of 0.6807 minor support suggests completion of corrective rebound from 0.6677. Further fall should be seen to retest this low. EUR/AUD's rebound from 1.5905 is accelerating and break of 1.6308 could pave the way back to 1.6786 high. USD/JPY lost momentum well ahead of 109.31 resistance. Focus is back on 107.45 minor support and break will bring deeper fall back towards 104.45 low.

In Asia, Nikkei is up 0.52%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.24%. China Shanghai SSE is flat. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.20%. Japan 10-year yield is down -0.0348 at -0.217. Overnight, DOW rose 0.13%. S&P 500 rose 0.03%. NASDAQ dropped -0.11%. 10-year yield dropped -0.026 to 1.786.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.20; (P) 108.34; (R1) 108.59; More...

USD/JPY retreats sharply after hitting 108.47. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. Further rise cannot be ruled out as long as 107.45 support holds. But we'd continue to look for topping sign as it approaches this 109.31 key resistance. On the downside, break of 107.45 minor support will suggest that rebound from 104.45 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside. Break of 106.68 resistance turned support will confirm and target 104.45 low. However, decisive break of 109.31 will carry larger bullish implication.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD GDP Q/Q Q2 0.50% 0.40% 0.60%
1:30 AUD Employment Change Aug 34.7K 20K 41.1K
1:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Aug 5.30% 5.20% 5.20%
4:30 JPY All Industry Activity Index M/M Jul 0.40% -0.80%
6:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Aug 3.22B 3.63B
7:30 CHF SNB Policy Rate -0.75% -0.75%
8:30 GBP Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel M/M Aug 0.00% 0.20%
8:30 GBP Retail Sales Inc Auto Fuel Y/Y Aug 2.90% 3.30%
8:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Jul 20.3B 18.4B
8:30 GBP Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel M/M Aug 0.00% 0.20%
8:30 GBP Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel Y/Y Aug 2.60% 2.90%
11:00 GBP BoE Bank Rate 0.75% 0.75%
11:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Target Sep 435B 435B
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--0--09 0--0--09
11:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--0--09 0--0--09
12:30 CAD ADP Payroll Estimates Aug 73.7K
12:30 USD Current Account Balance (USD) Q2 -127B -130B
12:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Sep 10.8 16.8
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (SEP 14) 210K 204K
14:00 USD Leading Index Aug 0.10% 0.50%
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales Aug 5.39M 5.42M
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 78B