Australian Dollar Lifted as Asian Stocks Rebound on US-China Trade Optimism
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-13-18

Sterling Surges as Brexit Agreement, Including Irish Backstop Will be Ready Soon

Sterling rebounds solidly today and there is new wave of buying coming in at early part of US session. Positive news regrading Brexit negotiation is the key driver of the Pound. It's reported that the Brexit agreement is now closer than ever. And, there are only a small number of issues that. Further than that, the texts regarding Irish backstop are even reported to be ready. Prime Minister Theresa May has told her Cabinet to get ready to sign the agreement tomorrow, or by latest Thursday. While these are unconfirmed news from unnamed sources, Sterling traders don't care how real they are and jump in.

New Zealand and Australian Dollar follow as the second and third strongest. They're clearly lifted by optimism that US and China are moving in the right direction to solve trade conflicts. Chinese Vice Premier Liu He would travel to the US shortly, to work with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on preparing the summit between Trump and Xi at the G20 summit on November 30. And it's believed that certain set of things would be agreed to avert further escalation of the tariff war. On the other hand, Yen is trading as the weakest one, followed by Dollar, as market sentiments stabilized, and lifted.

Technically, EUR/GBP's break of 0.8690 now confirms resumption of recent fall from 0.9098. GBP/JPY's strong rebound also put focus back to 149.70 resistance. GBP/USD might recover further but there is no sign of breaking 1.3174 resistance yet. Dollar has clearly lost some momentum and would consolidate for a while first.

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CFTC Commitments of Traders – USD Index Stayed in NET LENGTH...

 

Commitments of Traders – Natural Gas in NET LENGTH for the...

 

Dollar and Yen Building Up Bullish Turnaround, Canadian Down on Oil...
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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8738; (R1) 0.8766; More...

EUR/GBP's break of 0.8690 temporary low indicates resumption of whole decline form 0.9098. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.8620 support first. Break will target 100% projection of 0.9098 to 0.8722 from 0.8939 at 0.8563 next. However, break of 0.8773 minor resistance will turn focus back to 0.8939 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
0:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Oct 4 6
0:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Oct 12 15
7:00 EUR German CPI M/M Oct F 0.20% 0.20% 0.20%
7:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Oct F 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
8:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices M/M Oct 0.20% 0.10% -0.20%
8:15 CHF Producer & Import Prices Y/Y Oct 2.30% 2.60%
9:30 GBP Jobless Claims Change Oct 20.2K 4.3K 18.5K 23.2K
9:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Oct 2.70% 2.60%
9:30 GBP Average Weekly Earnings 3M/Y Sep 3.00% 3.00% 2.70%
9:30 GBP Weekly Earnings ex Bonus 3M/Y Sep 3.20% 3.10% 3.10%
9:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate 3Mths Sep 4.10% 4.00% 4.00%
10:00 EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment Nov -24.1 -24.2 -24.7
10:00 EUR German ZEW Current Situation Nov 58.2 65 70.1
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Nov -22 -17.3 -19.4
19:00 USD Monthly Budget Statement (USD) Oct -116.6B 119.1B
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