Sterling Holds Firm After BoE, But Dollar and Yen Outperform

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-20-25

Sterling Holds Firm After BoE, But Dollar and Yen Outperform

Sterling is trading slightly firmer today, though it struggles against the rebounding Dollar and Yen. BoE's rate decision leaned slightly more hawkish than expected, with only one member of the MPC, the known dove Swati Dhingra, voting for a rate cut. The rest supported keeping rates on hold. The overall tone of the statement remained unchanged, reinforcing a gradual and cautious approach to monetary easing. While BoE acknowledged downside risks to growth, it sounded alert on inflation persistence, signaling that the central bank is unlikely to rush into aggressive rate cuts.

Meanwhile, Swiss Franc weakened after the SNB cut rates by 25bps to 0.25%. The message wasn’t particularly dovish. The central bank still see inflation rising back to 0.8% in 2026. Given that interest rates are already at an ultra-low level, if incoming data aligns with this forecast, further rate cuts may not be necessary anytime soon. This outlook helped cushion Franc’s downside but was not enough to prevent weakness against stronger currencies like Yen and Dollar.

In the broader forex markets, Dollar and Yen are leading the charge today, though their rebounds remain relatively unconvincing. Both currencies have struggled to sustain momentum so far despite benefiting mildly from renewed risk aversion in global markets. Meanwhile, Kiwi and Aussie are under pressure, appearing to be weighed down by dampened sentiment. Loonie and European majors are stuck in the middle of the pack....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2969; (P) 1.2990; (R1) 1.3025; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the downside, firm break of 1.2910 support should confirm short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. In this case, intraday bias will be back on the downside for near term channel support (now at 1.2770). On the upside, though, above 1.3013 will resume the rally from 1.2099 towards 1.3433 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD GDP Q/Q Q4 0.70% 0.40% -1.00% -1.10%
00:30 AUD Employment Change Feb -52.8K 30K 44K 30.5K
00:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Feb 4.10% 4.10% 4.10%
01:00 CNY 1-Y Loan Prime Rate 3.10% 3.10% 3.10%
01:00 CNY 5-Y Loan Prime Rate 3.60% 3.60% 3.60%
07:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Feb 4.80B 5.01B 6.12B 6.15B
07:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Feb -0.20% 0.20% -0.10%
07:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Feb 0.70% 1.00% 0.50%
07:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Feb 44.2K 7.9K 22K
07:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Jan 4.40% 4.50% 4.40%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Jan 5.80% 5.90% 6.00% 6.10%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Jan 5.90% 5.90% 5.90%
08:30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% 0.50%
09:00 CHF SNB Press Conference
09:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
11:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--1--8 0--2--7 0--9--0
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Feb 0.40% 0.30% 1.60%
12:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index M/M Feb 0.30% -0.30% 3.70%
12:30 USD Current Account (USD) Q4 -304B -337B -311B -310B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 14) 223K 222K 220K 221K
12:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Survey Mar 12.5 12.1 18.1
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales Feb 3.92M 4.08M
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 3B -62B