Dollar Recovers as Markets Stabilize, Euro Pressured by PMI and Dovish ECB Accounts
Action Insight Mid-Day 5-22-25 |
Dollar Recovers as Markets Stabilize, Euro Pressured by PMI and Dovish ECB Accounts |
Dollar staged a broad recovery today as financial markets found some footing following a volatile stretch dominated by US deficit concerns. US futures are trading flat, while 10-year Treasury yield has pared back modestly from recent highs, signaling a pause in the bond selloff. The calmer tone helped the greenback regain some traction. Support for Dollar came even after a narrow passage of a sweeping tax and spending bill in the US House of Representatives. The legislation, central to President Donald Trump's policy agenda, introduces a range of tax breaks, most notably on tips and car loans, while substantially boosting military and border enforcement budgets. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill would add approximately USD 3.8 Trillion to debt over the next decade.... |
USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8211; (P) 0.8251; (R1) 0.8251; More…. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 0.8475 resistance holds. Corrective rebound from 0.8038 should have completed already. Below 0.8208 will bring retest of 0.8038 first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9200 to 0.8038 from 0.8475 at 0.7757 next. | |
GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised |
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23:00 | AUD | Manufacturing PMI May P | 51.7 | 51.7 | 23:00 | AUD | Services PMI May P | 50.5 | 51 | 23:50 | JPY | Machinery Orders M/M Mar | 13.00% | -1.60% | 4.30% | 00:30 | JPY | Manufacturing PMI May P | 49 | 49 | 48.7 | 00:30 | JPY | Services PMI May P | 50.8 | 52.4 | 06:00 | GBP | Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Apr | 20.2B | 17.7B | 16.4B | 07:15 | EUR | France Manufacturing PMI May P | 49.5 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 07:15 | EUR | France Services PMI May P | 47.4 | 47.7 | 47.3 | 07:30 | EUR | Germany Manufacturing PMI May P | 48.8 | 49 | 48.4 | 07:30 | EUR | Germany Services PMI May P | 47.2 | 49.5 | 49 | 08:00 | EUR | Eurozone Manufacturing PMI May P | 49.4 | 49.4 | 49 | 08:00 | EUR | Eurozone Services PMI May P | 48.9 | 50.4 | 50.1 | 08:00 | EUR | Germany IFO Business Climate May | 87.5 | 87.7 | 86.9 | 08:00 | EUR | Germany IFO Current Assessment May | 86.1 | 87 | 86.4 | 08:00 | EUR | Germany IFO Expectations May | 88.9 | 88.3 | 87.4 | 08:30 | GBP | Manufacturing PMI May P | 45.1 | 46.2 | 45.4 | 08:30 | GBP | Services PMI May P | 50.2 | 50 | 49 | 11:30 | EUR | ECB Meeting Accounts | 12:30 | CAD | Industrial Product Price M/M Apr | -0.80% | -0.50% | 0.50% | 0.30% | 12:30 | CAD | Raw Material Price Index Apr | -3.00% | -2.20% | -1% | -0.70% | 12:30 | USD | Initial Jobless Claims (May 16) | 227K | 230K | 229K | 13:45 | USD | Manufacturing PMI May P | 49.9 | 50.2 | 13:45 | USD | Services PMI May P | 51 | 50.8 | 14:00 | USD | Existing Home Sales Apr | 4.10M | 4.02M | 14:30 | USD | Natural Gas Storage | 118B | 110B |
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