Investor Confidence Shattered by Omicron Variant, Yen and Swiss Franc Surged
Action Insight Weekly Report 11-27-21
Investor Confidence Shattered by Omicron Variant, Yen and Swiss Franc Surged

Investor confidence was shattered by the news of the heavily mutated B.1.1.529 coronavirus variant, now called omicron. WHO warned that this variant has a large number of mutations, some of which are concerning. It added that preliminary evidence suggested an increased risk of reinfection with this variant. It may also have a growth advantage to other variants, with faster rate of infections. It's also still unknown if this variant is vaccine-resistant.

Yen and Swiss Franc ended the week as run-away leaders as global risk markets were in free-fall. Commodity currencies were the worst performing ones, as lead by New Zealand Dollar despite RBNZ rate hike. Meanwhile, Euro, Sterling and Dollar were mixed, with the greenback giving away much of the earlier gained grounds. While markets will likely stay risk-off for a while, the long term trends are not threatened yet. But of course, we'll have to wait-and-see how things develop.

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GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY's fall from 158.19 resumed last week and accelerated to as low as 150.67. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 100% projection of 158.19 to 152.35 from 154.70 at 148.86 next, which is close to 148.93 key structural support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 161.8% projection at 145.25 next. For now, near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 154.70 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Week Ahead: Who Cares about Inflation When There is an Omicron Covid Variant?

The Weekly Bottom Line: Consumer Spending Powers Ahead

Forward Guidance: Canadian GDP Edging Higher as Labour Markets Tighten

Week Ahead – Pressure Mounting on Central Banks

Eurozone's Inflation Spiral to Continue but will Euro Capitalize?

Week Ahead – NFP Report Could Keep the Dollar Rally Going

Weekly Focus – Strong Activity ahead of Slowdown

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