Dollar Index Hits Multi-Year Low and Broke Long Term Fibonacci Level

Action Insight Weekly Report 6-21-25

Dollar Index Hits Multi-Year Low and Broke Long Term Fibonacci Level

Dollar ended last week as the weakest major currency, with Dollar Index breaking to a fresh three-year low. Risk-on sentiment was a key driver: US equities surged following the Israel-Iran ceasefire, and S&P 500 and NASDAQ both posted record closes on Friday. Rising expectations of rate cuts from Fed later this year also contributed to Dollar’s selloff, as markets added bets on a September move.

More structurally, sentiment toward Dollar continued to souring as investors reassess its role as a global anchor of stability. Stagflation fears, concerns over fiscal sustainability, and volatility in US trade and policy have all raised red flags. This repositioning away from the dollar is not merely technical—it reflects a deeper shift in global reserve management and private capital flows.

After years of heavy USD allocation, investors are actively diversifying, with Euro-denominated and Swiss Franc assets among the key beneficiaries. If the tariff truce ends without compromise in early July, it could further accelerate this reallocation......

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD's up trend resumed last week and there is no clear sign of topping yet. Initial bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.0176 to 1.1572 from 1.1064 at 1.1927. On the downside, below 1.1679 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained above 1.1452 support to bring another rally.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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