Investors Brush Off Tariffs, Dollar Rebounds Near Long-Term Channel Support

Action Insight Weekly Report 7-12-25

Investors Brush Off Tariffs, Dollar Rebounds Near Long-Term Channel Support

Global markets brushed aside the latest escalation in the US-led trade war last week, with equities rallying to fresh record highs and risk appetite proving remarkably resilient. Overall, the muted investor response suggested markets were pricing in the tariff headlines as more bark than bite, at least for now.

Aussie led pack, benefiting from a perfect storm of positive drivers: firm risk sentiment, surging copper prices, and a surprise decision by the RBA to hold rates steady. Dollar followed closely as traders adjusted their Fed expectations, while Swiss Franc came in third. At the bottom of the leaderboard, Yen was the week’s worst performer, followed by a battered Pound Sterling and a soft New Zealand Dollar. Euro and Canadian Dollar were middling performers.

Looking ahead, trade developments remain in focus. Over 20 countries have now received individual tariff letters, and the administration has signaled that blanket 15–20% tariffs may apply to remaining partners. Europe remains the big unknown—with the White House expected to send tariff letters to the EU imminently. Any escalation there could test market calm and shake up the late summer outlook......

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD recovered last week but lost momentum quickly. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Overall, price actions from 1.3538 are seen as a corrective pattern, which is now in its third leg. Stronger rise could be seen and above 1.3728 will target 1.3797 resistance and probably above. On the downside, break of 1.3637 minor support will bring retest of 1.3538/55 support zone.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Markets Weekly Outlook – Inflation Storm Ahead as Earnings Season Gets Underway

The Weekly Bottom Line: Trade Fireworks in July

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: You Get a Tariff! You Get a Tariff!

Inflation Watch—Canada’s Consumer Prices to Tick Higher in June after May’s Downside Surprise

Week Ahead – A Storm of CPI Data and China’s GDP in Focus Amid Trade Uncertainty

Cliff Notes: Time to Assess

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