Yen Jumps as Trade Optimism Waned Suddenly after China Canceled Farm Trip
Action Insight Weekly Report 9-21-19
Yen Jumps as Trade Optimism Waned Suddenly after China Canceled Farm Trip

Yen and Swiss Franc ended as the strongest ones last week. They're partly supported by lack of clear indication of imminent easing from respective central banks. There was additional buying on a pessimistic turn on US-China trade talks. Dollar ended mixed after Fed's hawkish rate cut. Theorectically, Fed should be done with its mid-cycle adjustment. But the path ahead is still heavily dependent on developments on trade, global slowdown and domestic data.

On the other hand, New Zealand and Australian Dollar were the weakest ones. In particular, job data in Australia affirmed the case for another RBA rate cut, probably next month. Sterling was the next weakest after it pared back some of recent gains, reduced no-deal Brexit risk.

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Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY edged higher to 135.74 last week but failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, sustained break of 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next. However, break of 132.17 support will suggest rejection by 135.07 and turned bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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