| Marty McBezos | Spare a tuppence, UK |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for January 7th in 3:11 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a caffè mocha at Miran Nargile Café in Istanbul, Turkey (7°C/44°F 🌧)

Today's big stories

  1. Amazon signed a deal with India’s second-biggest retail chain in a bid to stave off major competitors
  2. With gold surging to a seven-year high on US-Iran tensions, analysts are looking at where the price of the investment “safe haven” might go next – Read now
  3. The UK got a post-election bump in its services sector, but poor manufacturing data is still weighing it down
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Great Scott!

Great Scott!

What’s Going On Here?

Terrified of getting stuck in the past, Amazon have gone Back To… er, Future Retail – India’s second-largest physical retailer – and signed a deal to sell the company’s products (tweet this).

What Does This Mean?

Future Retail operates over 1,500 stores in India under brands like Big Bazaar, and it sees around 350 million visits each year. But its fledgling online business faces stiff competition from Walmart, which owns Indian ecommerce giant Flipkart. A partnership with Amazon could be a shortcut to success: the US tech giant will stock Future’s products online, as well as offer two-hour Prime delivery on a whole range of them.

Amazon already has a relationship with Future Retail, having bought almost 4% of the company last year. But this new deal is an effort to further expand its product selection and better compete with rivals like JioMart, a new venture from Asia’s richest man.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Moody Moody’s.
India’s economic growth has slowed significantly in recent years, falling to its slowest in over six years in the third quarter of 2019. Ratings agency Moody’s even issued a negative outlook for the country back in November, partly because it thinks recent tax cuts might hurt government finances. And just as we’ve seen in Hong Kong, there’s the risk recent political turmoil will leave economic scars. But some analysts are more positive: they think those tax cuts and a stronger global economy could lead to a rebound for the country in 2020.

Zooming out: Teamwork makes the dream work.
It can be tricky for traditional retailers to make the move online: dealing with all those delivery trucks ain’t easy, after all. But even seasoned ecommerce companies can struggle to stay on top in a competitive market. Teamwork between the old and the new, then, is in vogue. That might be why supermarket giant Carrefour bought lunch delivery firm Dejbox over in France on Monday.

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2/3 Premium Story

Goldman Talks Gold

Investors who fled to the safety of gold after the US killed a top Iranian general last week have pushed its price to the highest level in almost seven years. But while some analysts are forecasting further gains for the precious metal, others point to technical signals suggesting the rally has gone far enough for now.

Get the full story in the Finimize app

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Cockney Of The Walk

Cockney Of The Walk

What’s Going On Here?

‘Ello ‘ello ello, what’s this then: new data out on Monday showed the UK services sector – what covers everyone from chimney sweeps to telecoms execs – did better than expected in December.

What Does This Mean?

Before the UK general election last month, investors had been expecting to see the country’s services sector shrink in December. But cor blimey guvnor, new data only went and showed the sector holding steady, it did.

That could be down to the decisive outcome of the election, which called time on the political deadlock and, in turn, the uncertainty that’s knackered the country since 2016’s Brexit referendum. With the UK finally set to leave the European Union at the end of January, optimism among businesses is rising: some even expect a short-term boost in demand once the departure’s underway. But they might not want to be too chuffed with themselves: the UK’s manufacturing sector is in such Barney Rubble that the private sector still shrank overall.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Investors love dosh, they do. 
Data for the eurozone’s private sector was revised upwards on Monday, showing it’s grown at its fastest pace since August. Things were particularly promising in Germany, where retail sales grew a whopping 2% between October and November. That's double what investors expected, which might be why they bought up the euro on Monday.

Zooming out: Firms hate being skint, they do.
More Brexit clarity stands to benefit countries stepping in time with the UK, too. A new study showed foreign firms that are exposed to the uncertainty have lost market value, and reduced their hiring and investment as a result. Irish firms – which have cut investment by an average of 4% every year since 2016 – are especially vulnerable. A clearer idea of what’s next should help businesses plan ahead, but they’ll still have to deal with the potential consequences: many businesses reckon regulatory and operational changes will cause their own problems.

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💬 Quote of the day

“There are two kinds of people: those who do the work and those who take the credit. Try to be in the first group. There is less competition there.”

– Indira Gandhi (an Indian politician)
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