Apple shines | SAP clouds |
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Today's big stories

  1. Apple, the world’s biggest tech firm, reported better quarterly earnings than expected
  2. SAP, Europe’s biggest tech firm, had investors concerned about slowing growth in its cloud segment
1/3

Apple’s Peachy

Apple’s Peachy

What’s Going On Here?

Apple – the world’s second-largest public company – reported better-than-expected quarterly results late on Tuesday. Investors duly Applauded, helping its stock initially rise 2%.

What Does This Mean?

Sales of iPhones – including the first full quarter of the company's latest flagship product – impressed, as did those of wearables such as the now-ubiquitous AirPods. But revenue from Apple’s services segment, where Apple TV+ didn’t do much to hamper rival Netflix’s quarter, surprisingly missed expectations. That bodes ill for the company’s plans to shift its focus away from hardware and towards recurring subscription sales (tweet this).

The big Apple’s earnings forecast for this quarter, meanwhile, was higher than investors had thought. Still, with China representing almost 20% of Apple’s overall business and a proliferating coronavirus there disrupting consumer spending, there’s perhaps a bigger risk than usual that the company falls short.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: At the margin.
Apple scored just 15% of global smartphone shipments last year – but 66% of the total profit they generated. Put simply, iPhone revenue – which has already exceeded $1 trillion – has been the apple of Apple’s earnings’ eye ever since the device’s 2007 launch. That may explain why investors are so keen on signs of success in the company’s transition to extremely profitable services sales from those of merely highly profitable phones and computers. For now, however, those signs remain elusive – and the costs involved continue to upset the apple cart: Apple’s profit margin has fallen for the last two years, and analysts reckon it’ll fall further this year too.

Zooming out: All the tea in China.
Apple’s not the only US company (or investor) counting on growth in China: famous ā€œactivist investorā€ Bill Ackman has bet a billion dollars on Starbucks winning big there. But despite also announcing better-than-expected quarterly earnings late on Tuesday, the coffee company’s stock price initially fell. What with the coronavirus closing cafes, Starbucks’ earnings this quarter, like Apple’s, probably won’t be as grandeĀ as previously predicted.

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šŸ¤“ Know Your Earnings

All this week, our analysts will be bringing you the latest earnings reports from major US tech firms. But they’ve also put together in-depth breakdowns on each of the companies to help you better understand their fundamentals – starting with Apple.

Apple’s brought in over $1 trillion in revenue from iPhones, which makes them by far the company’s biggest moneymaker. But with the iPhone wave slowing, analysts are more interested in whether the tech giant can fill that gap and avoid going the way of BlackBerry. Selling more services and subscriptions to its 1.4 billion users could be a good start…

Get unlimited access to all our tech breakdowns with our brand new monthly plan, tailored especially to earnings week. Explore our company breakdowns

earnings-season

3/3

SAPping Strength

SAPping Strength

What’s Going On Here?

Germany’s SAP – Europe’s biggest tech company – reported revenue and profit that beat investors’ expectations on Tuesday. But it also announced that growth at its crucial cloud computing business was slowing,Ā and investors looking for something bigger turned SAP away – sending its shares down 3%.

What Does This Mean?

SAP, which sells business operations software, reported fourth-quarter profit 12% greater than a year before as well as improving margins – largely thanks to the cloud component SAP’s spent $26 billion bolting competitors onto over the past decade.

All that nubilous voracity has led to growth; just not enough growth to sate investors’ appetites. SAP’s new cloud revenue was 19% higher last quarter than a year ago – but a single big new client accounted for over half of that. Excluding this shows cloud growth actually slowing down…

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Jack of all trades.
While cloud now accounts for most of SAP’s overall growth, the company started off in accounting software. And the continued legacy of this business may be part of SAP’s problem: it’s competing against cloud-first firms like Salesforce which can innovate faster. Investors, significantly, tend to prefer ā€œpure-playā€ firms: the value of a company trying to do too much isn’t always greater than the sum of its parts. Fellow European tech conglomerate Philips seems to be capitalizing on that: it announced on Tuesday that it would continue a wave of recent divestments with the sale of its domestic appliances unit.

Zooming out: Who runs the world?
SAP’s cloud software runs on cloud hardware – a market particularly prominent this week. Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet are all duking it out for dominance in the server space, and all of them shortly report earnings. As with SAP, investors will be looking for growth in their cloud segments – particularly from Alphabet, which is reportedly considering pulling the plug if it doesn’t overtake Microsoft’s offering by 2023.

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šŸ’¬ Quote of the day

ā€œI want to see if I can. I don’t know if I can. I want to find out. I want to see. I’m going to do what I always do: I’m going to break it down to its smallest form, smallest detail, and go after it. Day by day, one day at a time.ā€

– Kobe Bryant (an American professional basketball player)
Tweet this
šŸ¤” Q&A Ā· RE: Hands Off

ā€œWhat is ā€˜arbitrage’ and why do investors do it?ā€

– Elle in the UK

ā€œInvestors love to use fancy names to describe relatively simple things. Lucky for you, Elle, we can help clear this one up. ā€˜Arbitrage’ describes the process by which investors simultaneously buy and sell the same investment (or its derivatives) in order to profit from a price discrepancy. For example, Chinese internet titan Alibaba now has shares listed in both New York and Hong Kong. If their relative values fell out of sync, arbitrage traders and their marvelous machines would be quick to sell shares in the more expensive location, buy them in the cheaper one, and bag a tidy profit when the price gap closed.ā€

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🐻 Talk about a bear market

It might seem like our events are taking place every which way you turn, but that’s not entirely true. We still have work to do to corner deepest darkest Peru. In the meantime, our Paddington Bear readership will just have to make do with:

šŸ‡®šŸ‡¹ Milan: Next Gen Investing
šŸ‡®šŸ‡³ Mumbai: Evolution of Incubators
šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø San Diego Campus: Future of Fintech
šŸ‡®šŸ‡³ Delhi: Evolution of Incubators
šŸ‡ØšŸ‡­ Zürich: Future of Risk Management

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šŸ“š What we're reading

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