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Hi John, here's what you need to know for July 12th in 3:15 minutes.

  1. Bitcoin flew to new highs, topping $118,000 as traders piled in ahead of US “Crypto Week”
  2. Goldman’s answer to the Magnificent 7 is made in China – Read Now
  3. The US president threatened new tariffs, adding to a growing list of surprise taxes

📚 Sometimes figuring out the market feels like trying to read a book with the pages out of order. So join us on July 15th for How To Navigate Today’s US Market – and find out how to make sense of what's happening and spot the opportunities. Grab your free ticket

Bitcoin And The Moon
Bitcoin And The Moon

What’s going on here?

Bitcoin blasted beyond $118,000 on Friday, as traders scrambled for their share ahead of what’s expected to be a big week for crypto.

What does this mean?

US spot bitcoin ETFs – funds that invest directly in the OG crypto – raked in a hefty $1.2 billion in new money on Thursday. And that was their sixth straight day of gains. Yep, the FOMO’s in full swing – and for good reason. “Crypto Week” kicks off in the US on Monday, with lawmakers expected to line up tax and regulatory measures to bring digital assets closer to the mainstream. As per usual, traders didn’t wait around for the ink to dry: they placed their bets early, before the bigger crowds could descend, sending bitcoin’s price into space.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Crypto stocks are feeling the love.

It’s not just bitcoin and its 12 US spot ETFs holding investors’ attention. America’s biggest crypto trading platform, Coinbase, is up 55% this year, while Robinhood – the platform popular with retail investors that’s gone big into crypto – has rocketed 155%. Safe to say the crypto hype is well and truly up there. But if stock markets and bitcoin both continue to rally, that momentum could continue.

For you personally: Might be time for a reality check...

With America’s pro-crypto stance, corporate coin stockpiling, and stock market that’s been getting more and more expensive, it’s hardly surprising that bitcoin’s been having a blast. Fans still consider it “digital gold” – a savvy hedge against everything from inflation to full-blown financial meltdowns. But let’s be real: bitcoin tends to move like any risky asset, rising and falling when stocks do. So while the OG crypto may glitter when times are good, don’t count on it to diversify your holdings like actual gold would – especially in a downturn.

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FROM OUR RESEARCH DESK

Goldman’s Got An Answer To The Magnificent Seven. And It’s Made In China

Stéphane Renevier, CFA

Goldman’s Got An Answer To The Magnificent Seven. And It’s Made In China

Goldman Sachs is making a bold call, and that’s always worth paying attention to.

The investment bank is backing a select group of Chinese private-sector firms – and calling it the “Prominent Ten”. Think of them as the country’s version of the Magnificent Seven.

After years of tech crackdowns, investor flight, and regulatory shifts, China’s market appears headed for a new era. It’s moving from chaos to clarity, with this group of private-sector powerhouses set to dominate.

In an economy long defined by fragmentation, this is a pivot toward concentration – and it’s got money-making potential.

That’s today’s Insight: Goldman’s answer to the Magnificent Seven is in China.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Worn Ultimatum
Worn Ultimatum

What’s going on here?

Another day, another tariff threat: the US president turned up trade tensions yet again, announcing late on Thursday his plans to slap a 35% tariff on certain Canadian imports.

What does this mean?

The proposed tax rate would be a step up from the current 25%, and it’d apply to goods that aren’t covered by the existing trade agreement between the US, Canada, and Mexico. But with a sizable chunk of Canada’s imports to the US falling under that agreement, it wouldn’t be an across-the-board increase on everything. Although, the president did threaten to raise the blanket levy to 15% to 20% for most trading partners at the same time – up from the current 10%. Those moves followed a surprise 50% tariff proposal earlier in the week on copper imports, which sent US prices to a record high. But this time around, markets only dipped slightly, suggesting that investors might be starting to tire of the tariff noise.

Why should I care?

Zooming out: Geopolitics make for a bitter brew.

Earlier this week, the president threatened a new 50% import tax on goods from Brazil – the world’s top exporter of arabica beans – stirring a roughly 3% rise in US coffee futures. But it wasn’t coffee’s price move that really stood out: it was the president’s motive. See, unlike previous tariff proposals, this one wasn’t motivated by trade deficits or corporate competition. It was a political show of support for the country’s former leader, so the market just didn’t see it coming.

For you personally: Tariff tantrums are market wildcards.

When tariffs shift from being economic levers to political weapons, things can become even more unpredictable. One day it’s copper, the next it’s coffee – and for investors, that means sudden market jolts aplenty. So with tariff threats running fast and loose, you’ll want to make sure your portfolio’s built to handle some surprises. That means staying diversified, investing across stocks, bonds, and other kinds of assets that don’t all move in tandem.

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QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Travel becomes a strategy for accumulating photographs."

– Susan Sontag (an American writer)

Plane seats. Kitchens. A side of fries. Some things are just better when they’re bigger. (Hey… get your mind out of the gutter.)

In today’s volatile markets, scaled-up companies could help keep your portfolio steady – if you choose the right ones, that is.

Join State Street’s senior strategist for How To Navigate Today’s US Market on July 15th, and find out how to vet big companies – and discover how to snag them for not-so-chunky prices.

Get Your Free Ticket

🎯 On Our Radar

A lovely hint of wildfire on the nose. Wine has a new (controversial) tasting note.

There are only so many trees you can climb. Summer flies when you’re in the younger generation.

Who needs compression socks? Try plane yoga on your next long-haul trip… or at least be prepared for when others do.

The Bear is a tough watch. Season four is “infuriating” – for better or worse.

Samantha and Charlotte would simply never meet. Here’s whether the SATC girls would be friends today.

🎙 Finimize Live

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🇺🇸 How To Navigate Today’s US Market: July 15th

🚀 Modern Investor Summit 2025: December 2nd and 3rd

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