What to know: By James Van Straten (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
Bitcoin (BTC) broke through to new highs above $118,000, but still has more to prove. It needs to reclaim records against other major assets such as gold and the British pound to demonstrate that it is outpacing them on a relative basis. |
Since July 9, BTC has surged from $108,000, with each rally seeing very limited pullbacks, highlighting the strength of the bull run. It is up 60% from its April lows, when tariff concerns rattled the market. Notably, for the first time since February, bitcoin has overtaken gold in year-to-date performance, rising 27% versus gold’s 26%. Significant liquidations have naturally followed the gains, as the $112,000 level, which marked the previous all-time high, was a well-defended position. Heavy short positions were defending that level, and their unwinding has fueled further upside momentum. U.S. crypto stocks are also higher in pre-market trading. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin network hash rate, which measures the computational power used to mine the proof-of-work blockchain, has rebounded above 915 exahashes per second (EH/s), signaling strong network participation. A significant difficulty adjustment exceeding 7% is likely over the weekend. Looking ahead, one key risk that could derail bitcoin’s momentum is the U.S. inflation data, due July 15. Last month, headline inflation printed at 2.4%, while core inflation came in at 2.8% year over year. For any hopes of rate cuts to remain intact, these numbers will need to trend lower. Stay alert! |
|
|
The launch of StarGate, VeChain’s new staking platform, kicks off an exciting era of enhanced rewards and more attractive tokenomics for the real-world-proven blockchain. StarGate, part of the ‘VeChain Renaissance’ technical roadmap, delivers greatly enhanced staking APYs, while Renaissance introduces consensus upgrades, interoperability tools, and new features that make building on VeChain more rewarding than ever. Key features and benefits of StarGate include: Staking Nodes from as low as 10K $VET (~$200) A massive 9.1% APY for certain Node types Unique, secure NFT-based staking model A 5.48 Billion $VTHO ($10+ Million) bonus pool for the first 6 months Intuitive staking and reward claiming mechanics StarGate is more than a staking program - it's the launch of a more decentralized, economically attractive era for stakers and builders alike. With thousands of new Nodes onboarded, VeChain welcomes a new generation of holders joining its mission to deliver the real-world potential of blockchain, and drive Web3 mainstream. Visit StarGate to learn more. |
|
|
Crypto July 14, 10 p.m.: Singapore High Court hearing on WazirX’s Scheme of Arrangement, marking a critical step in the exchange's restructuring after the $234 million hack on July 18, 2024. July 15: Alchemist staking update launches, allowing token holders to stake ALCH for access to advanced features, premium benefits and ecosystem rewards, potentially boosting token utility and demand. July 15: Lynq is expected to debut its real-time, interest-bearing digital-asset settlement network for institutions. Built on Avalanche’s layer-1 blockchain and powered by Arca’s tokenized U.S. Treasury fund shares, Lynq enables instant settlement, continuous yield accrual and improved capital efficiency. July 15, 3 p.m.: U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry holds a market structure hearingtitled “Stakeholder Perspectives on Federal Oversight of Digital Commodities.” Livestream link. July 16: July 16, 9 a.m.: U.S. House Ways and Means Committee oversight hearing titled "Making America the Crypto Capital of the World: Ensuring Digital Asset Policy Built for the 21st Century." Macro Day 2 of 2: The fourth Ukraine Recovery Conference in Rome, bringing together global leaders and stakeholders to advance Ukraine’s recovery and reconstruction as the war with Russia drags on. July 11, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases June employment data.Unemployment Rate est. 7.1% vs. Prev. 7%Employment Change Est. 0K vs. Prev. 8.8K Aug. 1, 12:01 a.m.: Reciprocal tariffs take effect after President Trump’s July 7 executive order delayed the original July 9 deadline, making this the start date for higher tariffs on imports from countries without trade deals. Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data) July 23: Tesla (TSLA), post-market July 29: PayPal Holdings (PYPL), pre-marketJuly 30: Robinhood Markets (HOOD), post-market July 31: Coinbase Global (COIN), post-marketJuly 31: Reddit (RDDT), post-market |
|
|
| Compound DAO is running multiple votes on whether to adopt an Oracle Extractable Value (OEV) solution for Ethereum mainnet, Unichain, Base, Polygon, Arbitrum, Optimism, Scroll, Mantle, Ronin and Linea. Delegates can choose between implementing Api3, Chainlink’s Secure Value Relay (SVR), or maintaining the current setup without OEV. All votes end July 12.1inch DAO is voting on a $25,000 grant proposal to research crustless cross-chain swaps between Bitcoin and Ethereum Virtual Machine networks using native Bitcoin tools like Taproot. Voting ends July 14. Aavegotchi DAO is voting on a $245,000 funding proposal to expand Gotchi Battler into a revenue-generating game with PvE modes, NFTs and battle passes, aiming to reverse declining player numbers, boost GHST utility and create sustainable rewards. Voting ends July 22. July 16, 5 p.m.: VeChain to host a monthly update with community representatives and the VeChain Foundation. |
| July 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.76% of its circulating supply worth $56.44 million. July 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 3.79% of its circulating supply worth $19.04 million.July 15: Sei (SEI) to unlock 1% of its circulating supply worth $18.79 million.July 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 1.87% of its circulating supply worth $39.25 million.July 17: ZKSync (ZK) to unlock 2.41% of its circulating supply worth $10.29 million.July 17: ApeCoin (APE) to unlock 1.95% of its circulating supply worth $10.51 million.July 18: Official TRUMP (TRUMP) to unlock 45.35% of its circulating supply worth $912.43 million.July 18: Fasttoken (FTN) to unlock 4.64% of its circulating supply worth $88.8 million. |
| July 11: PrompTale AI (TALE) to be listed on Binance, KuCoin, MEXC, and others.July 11: Kraken to list Propy (PRO) and AIOZ Network (AIOZ). July 12: Pump.fun to launch an initial coin offering (ICO) in which 33% of the supply of PUMP will be sold. The ICO will be conducted on Bybit, Kraken, Bitget, MEXC, KuCoin and Gate.io. |
|
|
The CoinDesk Policy & Regulation conference (formerly known as State of Crypto) is a one-day boutique event held in Washington on Sept. 10 that allows general counsels, compliance officers and regulatory executives to meet with public officials responsible for crypto legislation and regulatory oversight. Space is limited. Use code CDB10 for 10% off your registration through July 17. |
Join us for this curated gathering that unites D.C.’s most important public officials with legal, policy and compliance leaders from the private sector to advance crypto standards and reform.
Space is limited. Use code CDB10 for 10% off your registration through July 17. |
|
|
📍Ether's (ETH) break above $3,000 catalyzed a sharp rally across Ethereum-native memecoins and ecosystem tokens. 📍Memecoins are again serving as leveraged bets on broader ether strength, with flows rotating into lower-cap tokens like MOG for higher upside. 📍MOG jumped nearly 40%, lifting its market cap to $645 million, with over $90 million in 24 hour volume. 📍PEPE also rallied, adding over 30% over the past week and holding a $6 billion market cap — highlighting its continued dominance among ETH-based memecoins. 📍Both MOG and PEPE debuted in 2023 and have since become mainstays in Ethereum’s memecoin ecosystem, trading alongside DOGE and SHIB on major exchanges. 📍Outside of memes, protocol tokens also caught a bid, with Lido (LDO) rising 15% and Arbitrum (ARB) gaining 18% in the past day. 📍The trend echoes previous cycles, where breakout rallies in core assets like ETH often trickle down into ecosystem tokens and eventually into high-beta meme plays. 📍While PEPE remains the largest ETH-native memecoin issued in recent years MOG’s recent run suggests traders are increasingly willing to slide further down the risk curve for exposure. |
|
|
| BTC and ETH perpetual futures open interest fell even as prices rose late Thursday. The divergence calls for caution on the part of the bulls.XRP's open interest continued to rise, lending support to the price rally.The market shows little to no signs of overheating with funding rates for major coins only slightly elevated at around 10%, well short of the 50% threshold that suggests overheating. On Deribit, the $120K call is the most popular option, boasting an open interest of over $2 billion. That's the key level to watch out for as BTC's rally gathers steam.Risk reversals show call bias across tenors, with demand for upside more pronounced at the short-end, a sign of under positioned traders chasing the rally with short-term bullish bets. |
|
|
| BTC is up 6.8% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $118,308 (24hrs: 6.42%)ETH is up 8% at $3,006.71 (24hrs: 7.92%)CoinDesk 20 is up 5.3% at 3,513.29 (24hrs: 7.33%)Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 5 bps at 3.00%BTC funding rate is at 0.0300% (10.9500% annualized) on Binance |
| DXY is up 0.09% at 97.74 Gold futures are up 0.82% at $3,352.90Silver futures are up 2.98% at $38.42Nikkei 225 closed down 0.19% at 39,569.68Hang Seng closed up 0.46% at 24,139.57FTSE is down 0.55% at 8,926.12Euro Stoxx 50 is down 1.22% at 5,372.21DJIA closed on Thursday up 0.43% at 44,650.64S&P 500 closed up 0.27% at 6,280.46Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.09% at 20,630.66S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.41% at 27,082.30S&P 40 Latin America closed down 1.14% at 2,639.33U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 3.7 bps at 4.383%E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.62% at 6,284.75E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.56% at 22,885.50E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are down 0.68% at 44,601.00 |
|
|
| BTC Dominance: 64.77% (0.16%)Ether to bitcoin ratio: 0.02544 (unchanged)Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 916 EH/sHashprice (spot): $64.17Total Fees: 4.97 BTC / $558,499 CME Futures Open Interest: 152,685 BTCBTC priced in gold: 35.6 ozBTC vs gold market cap: 10.08% |
|
|
| BTC's dominance rate is about to penetrate the uptrend line.The impending breakdown indicates that outperformance of alternative cryptocurrencies relative to bitcoin. |
|
|
| Strategy (MSTR): closed on Thursday at $421.74 (+1.52%), up 3.38% pre-market at $436.06Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $388.96 (+4.04%), up 1.58% pre-market at $395.12Circle (CRCL): closed at $202.9 (+1.11%), down 0.5% pre-market at $201.91 Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $20.41 (+1.19%), up 2.55% pre-market at $20.93MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $19 (+2.93%), up 3.51% pre-market at $19.66Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $12.59 (+2.86%), up 3.89% pre-market at $#13.08Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $13.18 (-1.86%), down 1% pre-market at $13.05 CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $12.9 (+3.45%), up 3.33% pre-market at $13.33CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $25.49 (+0.99%)Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $45.97 (+8.62%), up 2.9% pre-market at $47.3Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $31.79 (-1.88%), up 3.24% pre-market at $32.47 |
|
|
| Daily net flows: $1,175.6 millionCumulative net flows: $51.31 billionTotal BTC holdings ~1.26 million |
| Daily net flows: $383.1 millionCumulative net flows: $5.12 billionTotal ETH holdings ~4.29 million |
|
|
| The total amount of DeFi loans outstanding has increased to nearly $28 billion, topping the previous life time high of $26.4 billion in December, according to data source Artemis.Its a sign of acceleration in the on-chain lending business, a sign of investor willingness to take more risk. |
🍁 Trump Threatens 35% Tariff on Some Canadian Goods(The Wall Street Journal): Trump raised tariffs on Canadian imports not covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement from 25% to 35%, while compliant goods remain exempt. Canada aims to reach a deal by Aug. 1. 🚀 Bitcoin Rockets Past $118K, Leads to Over $1B Shorts Getting Liquidated (CoinDesk): More than $1.13 billion in crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, including $1.01 billion from shorts, led by bitcoin and ether futures at $590 million and $241 million, respectively. 😨 Markets Embolden Trump on Tariffs, Stoking Fear He’ll Go Too Far (Bloomberg): Trump cited record market highs while floating a 15%–20% universal baseline tariff Thursday. JPMorgan’s CEO warned traders may be underestimating the risks of rising global trade tensions. 📊 Bitcoin's Record Rally From $70K to $118K: A Tale of Transition From Wild West to Wall Street-Like Dynamics (CoinDesk): Bitcoin’s latest rally features steady gains and declining volatility, reflecting institutional adoption and market maturity. Current macro conditions may keep volatility low, though unexpected shocks could still trigger sharp spikes. 💼 Robinhood’s OpenAI Tokens Walk a Legal Tightrope, Says Crypto Lawyer (CoinDesk): Lawyer John Montague warned that tokenizing private company shares carries risks of lawsuits from those firms, regulatory blowback due to securities laws’ requirements and investor losses if the platform goes bankrupt. 🇮🇷 Some of Iran’s Enriched Uranium Survived Attacks, Israeli Official Says (The New York Times): Israeli intelligence believes enriched uranium stored deep at Isfahan survived June’s strikes, but says any Iranian recovery effort would likely be detected in time for a renewed attack. |
|
|
CoinDesk Disclosure: The information contained in this newsletter, and any information linked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency or digital assets. |
L1.co Disclosure: This material is for informational purposes only, and the content contained herein should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to sell or buy any asset, strategy, or product. Investing in digital assets involves a high degree of risk, including the loss of principal. |
|
|
|
