| | | Good morning. It's January 16th, and today we'll take a look at Q4 results from BofA, Morgan Stanley, and United Healthcare. | |
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| | | | | What to Watch | Earnings: | UnitedHealth Group [UNH]: Premarket Bank Of America [BAC]: Premarket Morgan Stanley [MA]: Premarket U.S. Bancorp [USB]: Premarket J.B. Hunt Transport Services [JBHT]: Aftermarket Bank OZK [OZK]: Aftermarket | Economic Reports: | Initial jobless claims [Jan]: 8:30 a.m. U.S. retail sales [Dec]: 8:30 a.m. Import price index [Dec]: 8:30 a.m. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey [Jan]: 8:30 a.m. Business inventories [Nov]: 10:00 a.m. Home builder confidence index [Jan]: 10:00 a.m. |
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| | Healthcare | UnitedHealth’s Revenue Miss Sparks Stock Decline | | UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) shares are down 3.6% in premarket trading today due to its disappointing fourth-quarter earnings report, which revealed a rare revenue miss. | Despite surpassing profit expectations and reaffirming its 2025 guidance, the healthcare giant’s $100.81 billion revenue is below the analysts’ $101.60 billion forecast. This is the first time in 17 quarters that UnitedHealth has not beaten revenue estimates. | Net income for the quarter has risen to $5.54 billion, or $5.98 per share, from $5.46 billion, or $5.83 per share, a year earlier. Adjusted earnings per share of $6.81 are higher than the analysts’ expectations of $6.73. | However, the revenue shortfall from UnitedHealth’s Optum and UnitedHealthcare divisions is causing investors to become jittery, further fueled by ongoing political scrutiny over pharmacy benefit managers. | CEO Andrew Witty emphasized the company’s focus on improving transparency in healthcare services and reiterated plans to deliver 2025 revenue between $450 billion and $455 billion, with adjusted EPS projected at $29.50 to $30.00. | The recent killing of UnitedHealthcare head Brian Thompson has placed additional focus on the company’s management and claims processes. Analysts remain optimistic about growth in the Optum business, though investor unease lingers. | UnitedHealth’s stock decline is expected to shave 156 points off the Dow Jones Industrial Average, highlighting its market influence and the broader implications of its performance. |
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| | Banking | BofA Profit Surges, Buoyed by Trading and Investment Banking Gains | | Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) reported a significant rise in profit for the fourth quarter today, driven by robust trading activity and a rebound in investment banking. | The firm’s net income has surged to $6.7 billion, or $0.82 per share, compared to $3.1 billion, or $0.35 per share, a year earlier. Adjusted earnings per share of $0.82 are above analysts' expectations of $0.77. | The bank’s revenue from sales and trading has climbed by 10%, marking its 11th consecutive quarter of growth. Equities revenue has grown by 6%, while fixed income, currencies, and commodities are 13% higher. BofA’s investment banking fees have also jumped 44% year-over-year to $1.7 billion. | Despite the strong results, BofA’s stock is down by a modest 0.6% in premarket trade. | CEO Brian Moynihan expressed optimism about the bank's momentum heading into 2025, highlighting growth in deposits, loans, and net interest income (NII). | NII has increased by 3% year-over-year to $14.4 billion, exceeding expectations. The bank forecasts NII to rise further, reaching $14.5–$14.6 billion in Q1 and up to $15.7 billion by the end of 2025. | Despite outperforming earnings estimates, BofA's stock rose 2.7% in premarket trading, though it lagged behind some peers in 2024. Analysts anticipate a stronger dealmaking environment in 2025, fueled by President-elect Donald Trump’s pro-business agenda and a steeper yield curve benefiting banks' lending margins. |
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| | Banking | Morgan Stanley Reports $3.7B Q4 Profit Amid Banking Recovery | | Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) reported a significant increase in fourth-quarter profit today, driven by a strong rebound in investment banking activities. The firm’s earnings of $3.7 billion, or $2.22 per share, for the quarter are more than double as compared to $1.5 billion, or $0.85 per share, in the same period last year. | Investment banking revenue has surged 25% year-over-year to $1.64 billion, mirroring similar gains reported by Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan earlier this week. A wave of mergers and acquisitions in the fourth quarter have boosted fees, while a strong U.S. economy and reduced interest rates provided additional momentum. | Shares in the firm are trading 1.2% higher today in premarket trade. | The bank also benefited from increased activity in equity markets, as rallying stock prices spurred initial public offerings and secondary share sales. Simultaneously, lower borrowing costs encouraged corporate bond issuance, further lifting investment banking revenue. | This marks a promising close to the year for Morgan Stanley and other Wall Street banks, which have seen a resurgence in dealmaking and market activity. Analysts attribute the positive trends to expectations of lighter regulatory oversight under incoming President Donald Trump and broader economic optimism. |
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| | Movers and Shakers | | Sezzle Inc. [SEZL] - Last Close: $259.57 | Sezzle Inc. is a buy now, pay later (BNPL) payment platform that enables consumers to split purchases into interest-free installments. | The company's stock is up 26% in premarket trading today after announcing that its 2024 adjusted earnings and revenue are expected to surpass prior guidance. | In the previous quarter also, Sezzle had reported a 71.3% year-over-year increase in total revenue to $70 million and a net income of $15.4 million ($2.62 per diluted share). | My Take: The company recently faced scrutiny from short-seller Hindenburg Research, alleging risky lending practices and a decline in customers and merchants, so expect some volatility if you invest here. |
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| Powell Max Limited [PMAX] - Last Close: $1.38 | Powell Max Limited is a Hong Kong-based financial communications services provider. The company has a market capitalization of approximately $20 million and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 51. | Its stock is surging 65%+ during premarket trading today after it announced a new acquisition strategy targeting financial communications service companies with annual revenues between $1.5 million and $5 million yesterday | My Take: The high P/E ratio indicates this stock might be a bit overvalued. Moreover, the firm has seen declining net margins in recent quarters. Keep this stock on your radar to see how the new acquisition strategy pans out. |
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| Symbotic Inc. [SYM] - Last Close: $26.77 | Symbotic Inc. is into AI-enabled robotics technology, specializing in automating supply chains for retailers and wholesalers. | The company's stock is surging more than 20% before the opening bell today after announcing a $200 million cash deal to acquire Walmart's robotics division to enhance Walmart's automated supply chain capabilities. | Additionally, Symbotic secured a $520 million agreement with Walmart to develop AI-driven robotics platforms for the retailer's pickup and delivery centers, covering an initial order for hundreds of stores. | My Take: Symbotic has seen strong growth in net margins in the last two quarters and the Walmart deal is certainly good news. Make sure you keep this stock on your watchlist for further growth. |
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| | | | Everything Else | BP targets $2 billion in savings with a major workforce reduction plan. London-based hedge fund Arini reported stellar gains, eyeing expansion into direct lending. TransUnion strengthens its foothold in the Mexican credit market with a $560 million acquisition. Insight Partners announced a $12.5 billion fund to back software companies worldwide. A new global basketball league aims to challenge the NBA with $5B backing. Swedish EV maker Polestar faces challenges scaling amid weak demand and competition. Italy attracts tech giants with €10 billion push for cloud and AI infrastructure. |
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| | That’s all for today. Thank you for reading. If you have any feedback, please reply to this email. | Best Regards, | — Adam Garcia Elite Trade Club |
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