No matter what the president says, the U.S. is hugely dependent on our oil, electricity and other energy exports

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Canada’s Trade-War Trump Card? Energy.

 

New day, same question: what will put an end to our drawn-out, panic-inducing, totally unnecessary trade war with the U.S.? Believe it or not, Canada’s trump card isn’t booing “The Star-Spangled Banner,” targeting steel, hoarding our potash or yanking Kentucky bourbon from liquor store shelves. As Moshe Lander, an economics professor at Concordia University, argues in this essay for Maclean’s, the way to hit America where it hurts most is to heavily tax—or altogether shut off—our power exports, whether in the form of oil, gas or any of the other Canadian energy it enjoys.

No matter what Trump says, Canada’s power contributions aren’t easily replaceable. “In 2023, Canada supplied 60 per cent of the crude oil, nearly 100 per cent of the natural gas and 85 per cent of the electrical energy imported by the U.S.,” Lander says. On its own, a hefty electricity surcharge—this week’s newsiest, now-rescinded threat, courtesy of Ontario’s Doug Ford—would lead to rolling outages and severe power restrictions that would affect tens of millions of Americans. There’s just one problem with the nuclear option: it’ll backfire, big-time. “Canada rolling back its energy exports wouldn’t just be an inconvenience for Americans; it would be an economic and logistical nightmare for us all.” Let’s hope it doesn’t come to that.

Visit macleans.ca for more coverage of everything that matters in Canada, and subscribe to the magazine here.

—Katie Underwood, managing editor, Maclean’s

A red power cord is disconnected in front of a blue American flag
 

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