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MAY 1, 2024TUCCI’S TWO CENTS Consumer Confidence Reaches New Low The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is a gauge of American consumers’ feelings towards the current state of affairs in the business and labor market here in the US. In short, it’s a survey of the attitudes of US consumers, their spending plans, expectations for inflation, and where they think stock prices and interest rates are heading. Consumer confidence fell for a third month in a row, reaching levels not seen since July of 2022. Which is odd because July was actually the best month of the year. But fast forward 60 days and the markets were tumbling… — Nate Tucci≈ ≈ ≈ ≈ ≈ ≈ May Market SHOCKWAVE! ≈ ≈ ≈ ≈ ≈ ≈ It’s a huge day — in a huge week — for markets… Because today Jerome Powell stepped up to the mic today to reveal the most anticipated interest rate announcement! No change! What does it mean for markets!? Plus earnings are in full swing and it’s been a mixed bag so far… Don’t get caught off guard! Click here to register your spot for Tom’s May Market preview!GUY COHEN’S TRADE RADAR A Choppy Earnings is Most Likely We’re in the thick of earnings, and as I started my review this week ahead was all looking a bit sketchy … until I progressed onto my post earnings and Shrinking Retracements filters. Directionally, we’re still looking a bit ambiguous right now, but there are a few decent individual setups that we can look into more closely. As I mentioned a couple of weeks ago, my expectation is that this market pullback will NOT turn into a capitulation. I suggested 5-8% from the peak, and we’ve already hit that range. As I also mentioned, the IWM was likely to have the steepest pullback, and it is, having retraced about 10% from the peak — while the QQQ took a 9% hit and the SPY and DIA around 6%. The indices are by no means out of the woods yet, so much will now depend on how earnings plays out. Click here to watch now! Follow the money, — Guy Cohen |
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