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I’m in Nashville this week for our investor field trip, so Stocks and Income will be out a few hours later than usual. |
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📰 Market Headlines |
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Earnings season is heating up with Tesla, Boeing, and UPS preparing to report amid the market's six-week winning streak. |
The Dow Jones and S&P 500 hit all-time highs last week, with all major indexes gaining around 1%. |
The US retirement system received a C+ in the 2024 Mercer CFA Institute Global Pension Index, ranking 29th out of 48 countries. |
Elon Musk has offered voters $1 million a day to sign his PAC petition backing the Constitution. |
Power went out on the island of Cuba on Friday, leaving 10 million people without electricity. |
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🕶️ Market Vibes |
🎰 Market Forecasts and Futures |
Forecasts via Kalshi, the prediction market. |
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😱 Fear and Greed Index |
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🎤 What you said last time |
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What you had to say: |
“If there is a better use for dead horses, I haven’t found it!” |
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📈 Trends you need to know | | Smoking is not nearly as prevalent as it used to be, but big tobacco companies are still paying out lawsuits. |
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🧠 What do you think? |
Elon Musk’s $1 million-a-day offer to voters who sign his PAC's petition has stirred quite the legal storm, raising eyebrows among election law experts. While Musk might be aiming to boost civic engagement, the legality of this approach is facing scrutiny. |
Legal Issues at Play |
Possible Federal Law Violation |
Some legal heavyweights argue Musk’s move might cross a line in federal election law. UCLA Law Professor Rick Hasen points to a specific law that bans paying people to register to vote or to cast a ballot. The twist here? Musk’s offer is limited to registered voters, which could be seen as an incentive for people to register. |
Election Day Timing |
Timing is everything. Northwestern University’s Michael Kang flags that this offer comes uncomfortably close to Election Day, which makes it hard to argue that it isn’t intended to influence voter registration. The timing alone adds fuel to the legal fire. |
Eligibility Strings Attached |
Brendan Fischer, a campaign finance lawyer, also sees legal red flags. The PAC requires voter registration for participation, which pushes this initiative into murky waters. The condition could be the tipping point that makes this legally questionable. |
Dissenting Opinions |
Not all legal minds are convinced that Musk is in clear violation of the law. |
- Some critics call the offer distasteful but not illegal, suggesting that paying someone to sign a petition isn’t the same as paying them to vote or register. |
- Former Federal Election Commission Chair Bradley Smith comes to Musk’s defense, arguing the tech mogul is compensating for petition signatures, not votes or registrations. |
Political Backlash |
Political figures are also weighing in. Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania voiced concerns about the flow of "dark money" into the state through this initiative, calling it problematic. |
What’s at Stake? |
If this gambit is ruled illegal, Musk could face significant penalties, including hefty fines and even up to five years in prison. The stakes are high, and the legal fallout remains to be seen. |
The Bottom Line |
Musk’s million-dollar-a-day offer has sparked a serious legal debate, and whether it crosses the line will depend on further scrutiny. It’s a fine line between promoting civic duty and potentially violating federal election law. No clear verdict yet, but it’s safe to say this won’t be the last we hear of it. |
Is this legal | Is it ok? |
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📊 Stocks |
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Winners and losers |
Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions |
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Here’s the roundup for this week: |
Monday: SAP SE (SAP), Nucor Corporation (NUE), HBT Financial (HBT), Zions Bancorporation (ZION), Nucor Corporation |
Tuesday: General Motors (GM), 3M Company (MMM), RTX Corporation (RTX), Verizon Communications (VZ), GE Aerospace (GE), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Quest Diagnostics (DGX), Philip Morris (PM), Denny's Corporation (DENN), Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Interpublic Group of Companies (IPG), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC), RTX Corporation (RTX), Texas Instruments (TXN), PulteGroup (PHM), Enphase Energy (ENPH) |
Wednesday: Tesla (TSLA), Boeing (BA), AT&T (T), IBM (IBM), Coca-Cola (KO), GE Verona (GEV), T-Mobile (TMUS), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT), Whirlpool Corporation (WHR), Mattel (MAT), CME Group (CME), General Dynamics (GD), ServiceNow (NOW), Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) |
Thursday: UPS (UPS), American Airlines (AAL), Southwest (LUV), Dexcom (DXCM), Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK), Sketchers (SKX), Coursera (COUR), Dow Inc. (DOW), Honeywell International (HON), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Hasbro (HAS), Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC), Capital One (COF), Beyond, Inc. (BYON) |
Market movers |
EV startup Fisker filed for bankruptcy with plans to liquidate $1 billion in assets. Due to Boeing's ongoing strike, Spirit AeroSystems furloughed 700 workers for 21 days. Indian retail group seeks antitrust probe of quick commerce companies Swiggy, Blinkit, and Zepto for alleged predatory pricing. Big Tobacco nears a $24 billion settlement to end long-running lawsuits in Canada, with a C$32.5 billion payout. |
Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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🌍 Global Perspectives | | 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Leaked US intelligence documents revealed Israel's plans to attack Iran. 🇺🇦 A Russian missile strike on Kryvyi Rih, Ukraine, injured 17 people and damaged homes and businesses. 🇮🇩 Indonesia swore in ex-general Prabowo Subianto as its new president. 🇲🇩 Early results showed Moldovans voting against a pro-EU constitution change, with the "No" vote leading at 53.9%. |
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📊 Crypto | | SEC approved 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs to list and trade options on the NYSE. Former President Trump's World Liberty Financial (WLFI) token launch flopped. On its first day, only 4.24% of the available tokens were sold. | |
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🧠 Errata | New Zealand's Dunedin Airport imposed a three-minute limit on hugs in its drop-off zone. The US Treasury Department's AI-powered fraud detection saved taxpayers $1 billion. Scientists discovered thriving underwater communities in volcanic caves beneath hydrothermal vents. |
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📺 What to Watch Today |
| Airport sets time limit on hugging |
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That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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