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GM! Welcome to Milk Road PRO – your weekly crypto dose that’s hotter than a DeFi summer. 🥵 |
Today, we're diving into the world of Decentralized Finance (DeFi), a sector we predict will skyrocket to $700 billion by the end of 2025. |
That’s an astounding 8x increase from where it stands now. |
But here's the kicker: not all DeFi categories will rise equally. |
So let’s discover which categories are primed to dominate and deliver the biggest gains. |
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For example, the 'Liquid Re/Staking' market share is expected to grow more than 4x. |
Consequently, the market cap for this category is anticipated to surge from the current $3.78 billion to $131 billion within just 18 months, marking an impressive 34x increase. |
Now, you might be thinking… “That's a pretty astonishing growth projection for an industry that has been underperforming.” |
Well, we believe DeFi's underperformance and waning investor interest stem from the DeFi summer 2020 bubble and current low prices. |
However, the sector has made tremendous progress and now features many projects generating sustainable revenues. |
If we take today's DeFi market cap and divide it by its current annualized revenues, we get a ratio of 26. |
This means it would take 26 years for the revenue to equal the market cap. This is comparable to the technology index Nasdaq (NQ), which has a ratio of 32. |
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We use these ratios to determine if the sector or market is overvalued, fairly valued, or undervalued. |
Moreover, we expect DeFi sector revenue to grow from the current revenue of $1 billion per year to more than $5 billion per year by the end of 2025. |
❗So we're looking at a sector where revenues are expected to grow more than fivefold and its valuation remains below traditional benchmarks like the Nasdaq. |
Isn’t that an outstanding investment opportunity? 👀 |
In today's report, we aim to understand how the DeFi market is poised to evolve. |
We'll analyze the current valuations of each category, examine their business models, and identify which categories are likely to perform well. |
This is what you can expect from today's report: |
What is DeFi and why is it going to perform well? 🚀 Analysis of each DeFi category and our projections 📊 How to pick best performing DeFi projects 🎯 Portfolio Considerations 💼
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P.S. This report builds on our previous report: Is your portfolio well-positioned for a $10 trillion market cap? |
We recommend reading that report first before diving into this one. |
Let's get into it. ⤵️ |
INTRODUCTION TO DEFI 💸 |
DeFi is one of the very first sectors to be built on the blockchain and thus, it’s one of the most robust. |
It’s reached a stage where it’s ready for institutions to move their capital onchain and even Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock says we are going to tokenize everything! |
DeFi aims to bring the entire financial world onchain by offering a faster, cheaper, more transparent, and more secure way to move money and use financial products. |
Here’s a quick look at the current size of global financial markets which is undoubtedly moving onchain over the coming decades. |
Just a couple hundred trillion dollars worth of assets… no biggie. 🤷 |
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In 2020, DeFi experienced a significant boom during "DeFi Summer" when activity surged due to the emergence of liquidity mining and yield farming programs. |
Here is the chart of the DeFi market cap. |
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Back in 2020 and 2021, users frequently hopped from one DeFi project to another, chasing higher incentives. |
This frenzy created significant sell pressure, coupled with token unlocks for investors and team members, which ultimately led to price drops of over 80% from their all-time highs. 😪 |
Fast forward to today, there are DeFi projects that: |
No longer rely on incentives Have the majority of their tokens in circulation Boast a decent user base Generate significant revenue
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...and yet, they are the cheapest they have ever been. 💸 |
Today, the top 4 revenue generating DeFi applications are Lido, MakerDAO, Uniswap and Aave, having just a 24x price to revenue ratio. |
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Think of these as real businesses being built with substantial revenues and liquid tokens that enable people to invest in them. |
This is a unique opportunity to invest in the next wave of high-growth startups, akin to buying Amazon shares back in 2002, after the dot com bubble crashed. |
We believe now is the perfect time for this sector to outperform. |
That's our mindset, and that's why we're incredibly bullish on DeFi. Let's walk you through each category. |