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| Thursday, September 19, 2024 |
| Jayden Daniels doesn't play on the main slate this weekend, so we're shifting over to Kyler Murray and the red-hot Arizona Cardinals. Or, if you really want to get weird, join me in playing Andy Dalton and Carson Steele on FanDuel! That's right! This might be a very fun week, or maybe we'll lose all our money. Remember to always gamble responsibly. |
| If you're not here for DFS, you can find the Week 3 rankings update at the bottom of today's newsletter. |
| And when you have time, the podcast that I recorded with Dan Schneier of FFT and Pat Fitzmaurice of Fantasy Pros today was a lot of fun. You can find the most-recent Beyond the Box Score episode here. |
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| If you'd like to give me feedback on the newsletter or which players/teams you'd like to read about in Friday's write-up, fill out this google form! |
| The DFS Helper should help point you in the right direction, but feel free to reach out to me on Twitter if you have any further questions! I try to respond to tweets throughout the week; I also have a weekly Twitter Q&A each Sunday morning to answer any lineup setting questions you have. Good luck this weekend everybody! |
| DraftKings Main Slate Tiers |
| Quarterback |
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Considerations
Kyler Murray ($6,900) |
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Geno Smith ($5,600), Jalen Hurts ($7,300), Andy Dalton ($4,800), Jared Goff ($6,500 - this is an awesome spot to stack the Lions if the rostered rates end up being low as expected), Derek Carr ($5,800), C.J. Stroud ($7,100 - I'll only be playing him in a mega-stack involving both Nico Collins and Tank Dell) |
| Running Back |
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None |
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
De'Von Achane ($7,000), Jordan Mason ($6,200), Zach Charbonnet ($6,000), Cam Akers ($4,700) |
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Derrick Henry ($6,500), Jahmyr Gibbs ($6,800), De'Von Achane ($7,000), Jordan Mason ($6,200), James Conner ($6,600), Zach Charbonnet ($6,000), Rachaad White ($6,100), Zamir White ($5,500) |
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Wide Receiver
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Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None |
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
Chris Godwin ($6,500), Brandon Aiyuk ($6,200), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($5,400), Nico Collins ($7,300), Chris Olave ($6,300), DK Metcalf ($6,300), Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,200) |
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Chris Olave ($6,300), Brandon Aiyuk ($6,200), Tank Dell ($5,200), Justin Jefferson ($8,600), Jameson Williams ($5,800), Nico Collins ($7,300), Davante Adams ($7,600), Rashid Shaheed ($5,300), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($5,400), D.J. Moore ($6,700), CeeDee Lamb ($8,800), DK Metcalf ($6,300), Diontae Johnson ($4,900), DeVonta Smith ($6,900), Jordan Whittington ($4,200), Courtland Sutton ($5,400) |
| Tight End |
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Consideration
George Kittle ($5,700) (Q) |
| Trey McBride ($6,200), Brock Bowers ($5,400) |
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Trey McBride ($6,200), Foster Moreau ($2,600) |
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| FanDuel Main Slate Tiers |
Quarterback
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Tier 1 -- Cash Game Considerations
Andy Dalton ($6,000), Kyler Murray ($8,300) |
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Jalen Hurts ($8,500), Jared Goff ($7,500), Andy Dalton ($6,000), Geno Smith ($7,600) |
| Running Back |
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None |
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
De'Von Achane ($7,700), Zach Charbonnet ($6,700), Jordan Mason ($8,300), Carson Steele ($5,200) |
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Carson Steele ($5,200), Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,900), Derrick Henry ($7,800), De'Von Achane ($7,700), Jordan Mason ($8,300), James Conner ($7,400), Zach Charbonnet ($6,700), Zamir White ($6,000) |
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Wide Receiver
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Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None |
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
Brandon Aiyuk ($6,500), Chris Godwin ($6,600), Nico Collins ($7,600), Rashee Rice ($7,300), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($6,100), Chris Olave ($6,700) |
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Chris Olave ($6,700), Davante Adams ($7,800), Justin Jefferson ($9,200), Nico Collins ($7,600), Brandon Aiyuk ($6,500), Tank Dell ($6,200), CeeDee Lamb ($9,300), D.J. Moore ($6,500), Jameson Williams ($6,300), Amon-Ra St. Brown ($9,100), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($6,100), DK Metcalf ($7,200), Rashid Shaheed ($6,300), Courtland Sutton ($5,300), Marvin Harrison Jr. ($7,500), Diontae Johnson ($5,300) |
| Tight End |
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Consideration
George Kittle ($7,100) (Q)
Trey McBride ($6,800) |
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Trey McBride ($6,800), Noah Fant ($4,900) |
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| Optimal FanDuel Lineup |
| *Be sure to check back for updates.* |
QB -- Kyler Murray
RB -- De'Von Achane
RB -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
WR -- Chris Godwin
WR -- Brandon Aiyuk
WR -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
TE -- Trey McBride
FLEX -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
D/ST -- TBD -- check back on Sunday! |
| Tournament FanDuel Lineup |
| Designed for large-field tournaments |
QB -- Andy Dalton
RB -- Carson Steele
RB -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
WR -- Justin Jefferson
WR -- Nico Collins
WR -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
TE -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
FLEX -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
D/ST -- Chiefs |
| Week 3 Rankings Update |
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Quarterback
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| Tier 1 -- Locked-in |
| Tier 1 -- Locked-in |
QB1 - Josh Allen
QB2 - Lamar Jackson
QB3 - Jalen Hurts
QB4 - Kyler Murray |
| Tier 2 -- Upside to finish as the top scorer in Fantasy, but there's risk |
QB5 - Jayden Daniels
QB9 - Anthony Richardson
QB15 - Justin Fields |
| Tier 3 -- Betting on touchdowns with pocket passers |
QB6 - Joe Burrow
QB7 - C.J. Stroud
QB8 - Patrick Mahomes
QB10 - Brock Purdy
QB11 - Jared Goff
QB12 - Baker Mayfield
QB13 - Dak Prescott
QB14 - Derek Carr
QB16 - Geno Smith |
| Tier 4 -- Fine to start if needed, I would not want to use these players |
QB17 - Deshaun Watson
QB18 - Garnder Minshew
QB19 - Caleb Williams
QB20 - Sam Darnold
QB21 - Trevor Lawrence
QB22 - Kirk Cousins
QB23 - Aaron Rodgers
QB24 - Matthew Stafford
QB25 - Justin Herbert
QB26 - Daniel Jones
QB27 - Malik Willis
QB28 - Will Levis
QB29 - Andy Dalton
QB30 - Bo Nix
QB31 - Skylar Thompson
QB32 - Jacoby Brissett |
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| Running Backs |
| Tier 1 -- Locked-in |
RB1 - Bijan Robinson
RB2 - Breece Hall
RB3 - Jordan Mason
RB4 - De'Von Achane
RB5 - Alvin Kamara
RB6 - Jahmyr Gibbs
RB7 - Saquon Barkley
RB8 - James Conner
RB11 - James Cook
RB12 - Zach Charbonnet
RB14 - David Montgomery
RB15 - Zack Moss |
| Tier 2 -- Role checks out, but can we trust the offensive environment? |
RB9 - Jonathan Taylor
RB10 - Derrick Henry
RB13 - Josh Jacobs
RB16 - Kyren Williams
RB18 - Travis Etienne (he'll move down if Tank Bigsby plays)
RB19 - Rhamondre Stevenson
RB20 - Tony Pollard
RB22 - Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders are massive road dogs) |
| Tier 5 -- I have several concerns |
RB21 - J.K. Dobbins (matchup + no real change in role from Week 1 to Week 2 + Chargers only implied for 17.5 points)
RB26 - Aaron Jones (brutal matchup + splitting carries)
RB27 - D'Andre Swift (it's been so rough)
RB28 - Devin Singletary (Daniel Jones + Browns D)
RB29 - Javonte Williams (Bo Nix + slow start)
RB30 - Chuba Hubbard (Maxx Crosby + slow start)
RB33 - Jerome Ford (Dexter Lawrence + splitting carries) |
| Tier 6 -- I also like to live dangerously |
RB23 - Carson Steele
RB24 - Zamir White
RB31 - Jaylen Warren
RB32 - Bucky Irving |
| Tier 7 -- Desperation plays |
RB25 - Najee Harris (feels bad to start Najee Harris, doesn't it! Surely, he'll score a TD at some point)
RB34 - Austin Ekeler
RB35 - Samaje Perine
RB36 - Ezekiel Elliott
RB37 - Ty Chandler
RB38 - Justice Hill
RB39 - Cam Akers
RB40 - Tyjae Spears |
| Wide Receivers |
| Tier 1 -- Locked-in |
WR7 - Brandon Aiyuk
WR9 - Garrett Wilson
WR10 - Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR11 - Tyreek Hill
WR12 - Chris Olave
WR14 - Mike Evans
WR16 - DJ Moore
WR18 - DK Metcalf
WR19 - George Pickens
WR20 - Zay Flowers
WR21 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR22 - Jameson Williams
WR23 - Stefon Diggs
WR24 - Rashid Shaheed |
| Tier 3 -- Offensive environment or matchup concerns keeping them out of Tier 2 |
WR17 - Malik Nabers (the Giants are only implied for 16 points -- for reference, DJ Moore's Bears implied total is 20 points -- and we could see a total implosion from Daniel Jones against this Browns defense)
WR25 - Diontae Johnson (I honestly do expect Carolina's offensive environment to be fine with Dalton at QB)
WR26 - Terry McLaurin
WR27 - Drake London |
| Tier 4 -- Super solid projections (even if there's not quite as much blow-up game potential) |
WR28 - Michael Pittman
WR35 - Khalil Shakir
WR39 - Keenan Allen
WR40 - Demarcus Robinson
WR46 - Jakobi Meyers
WR48 - Andrei Iosivas
WR49 - Jauan Jennings |
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| Tier 5 -- I have no idea what to expect from this group, but it could be fun! |
WR29 - Tank Dell
WR30 - Amari Cooper
WR31 - Jaylen Waddle
WR32 - Courtland Sutton
WR33 - Calvin Ridley
WR34 - Christian Kirk
WR35 - Brian Thomas Jr. (the schematic matchup strongly favors Kirk, and BTJ isn't yet playing a full-time role)
WR36 - Xavier Worthy
WR38 - Jayden Reed
WR41 - Quentin Johnston
WR42 - Ladd McConkey |
| Tier 6 -- Desperation plays |
WR43 - Brandin Cooks
WR44 - Tyler Lockett
WR45 - Rome Odunze (playing through injury)
WR47 - Jerry Jeudy
WR50 - Tyler Johnson |
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| Tight Ends |
| Tier 1 -- Locked-in |
| TE1 - George Kittle (Q) |
| Kittle sat out practice with a hamstring injury today. If he is out, it'd push Brock Purdy down even further and elevate ancillary pass-catchers like Jacob Cowing and Jauan Jennings. If he plays, Kittle is locked in for a prime matchup vs. the Rams! |
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| For context on Kittle's PPR point per route run rate, see below. |
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TE2 - Trey McBride
TE3 - Brock Bowers
TE4 - Sam LaPorta
TE5 - Travis Kelce
TE6 - Mark Andrews
TE7 - Dalton Kincaid
TE8 - Hunter Henry
TE9 - Kyle Pitts (here we are free falling again!) |
| Tier 2 -- Don't love the matchup/game set-up |
TE10 - Dallas Goedert
TE11 - Pat Freiermuth
TE14 - Isaiah Likely |
| Tier 3 -- Streamers |
TE12 - Mike Gesicki
TE13 - Zach Ertz
TE15 - Noah Fant
TE16 - Taysom Hill
TE17 - Dalton Schultz
TE18 - Colby Parkinson
TE19 - Greg Dulcich
TE20 - Jonnu Smith |
| If you have any feedback on the newsletter, feel free to send them my way. Thank you for reading! And please, do check out Beyond the Boxscore on FFT! Dan and I put a lot of work into that podcast project and aim to make it fun and accessible for any level of NFL fan! |
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