Today's Commentary Colombia's Peso Exposed to Oil Price Fluctuations Recent volatility generates uncertainty. FOMC Preview: Fed to Punt Now, Hike Soon June is likely for a rate increase, but we haven't ruled out April. Asia Spotlight: External Pressures Weigh on New Zealand The domestic economy is performing well despite weak export demand. Retail Sales and Business Inventories a Wash for Q1 U.S. GDP The first quarter still tracks at 1.5% at an annual rate, but the composition is slightly better. View More Analysis Insight on Critical Issues U.S. Regional Outlook: The Expansion Continues The outlook is upbeat, for most of the country. U.S. Chartbook: Resilience is Tested The expansion is still in mid-cycle, but recent financial market tightness has tempered sentiment. Commodity Outlook: Oil Prices Heading Higher The dollar is losing ground, economic fears are subsiding, and U.S. production is easing. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 11, 2016 Mounting evidence says that recession fears are premature. View More Analysis Today's Releases View More Releases
Survey of Business Confidence Latest: 30.9 Business sentiment has firmed in recent weeks in tandem with the rally in global financial markets. The turmoil in markets late last year and early this year had noticeably weakened confidence, hitting assessments of present conditions especially hard. But recent responses to all of the survey questions have taken on a brighter hue. Expectations regarding the outlook into this summer remain notably strong, with over half of respondents saying conditions will improve by then. And despite the decline in confidence in recent months, in a broader historical context, business sentiment is good and consistent with an economy that is expanding at the high end of its potential. View Full Analysis Reader's Choice Global Outlook: Calling All Hands Collective action is needed to protect the recovery. U.S. Macro Outlook: Myth Busting The electorate seems unconvinced, but solid fundamentals are driving the economy. U.S. Chartbook: Silencing the Critics Job growth and vehicle sales in February should allay concerns about the economy. Forecasters' Mailbag: Inflation, 'Bartender Recovery,' Oil Inventories Have a question on the economy? Send it along. Economic Roundup: Boom Goes the U.S. Labor Market Job growth exceeds expectations and slack is quickly vanishing.
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