Today's Commentary U.S. Oil Producers Line Up Their DUCs New supply can come to market faster than ever. Fed Maps a New Path Forward The central bank could be setting itself up for a policy error. First Quarter U.S. GDP Coming In Close to Expectations Q1 growth is now tracking 1.9% at an annual rate. U.K. Budget Lowers Growth Forecasts The government remains committed to a budget surplus by fiscal 2019-2020. View More Analysis Insight on Critical Issues Candidate Report Card: The Democrats Higher taxes, higher complexity, lower inequality. U.S. Regional Outlook: The Expansion Continues The outlook is upbeat, for most of the country. U.S. Chartbook: Resilience is Tested The expansion is still in mid-cycle, but recent financial market tightness has tempered sentiment. Commodity Outlook: Oil Prices Heading Higher The dollar is losing ground, economic fears are subsiding, and U.S. production is easing. View More Analysis Today's Releases View More Releases Survey of Business Confidence Latest: 30.9 Business sentiment has firmed in recent weeks in tandem with the rally in global financial markets. The turmoil in markets late last year and early this year had noticeably weakened confidence, hitting assessments of present conditions especially hard. But recent responses to all of the survey questions have taken on a brighter hue. Expectations regarding the outlook into this summer remain notably strong, with over half of respondents saying conditions will improve by then. And despite the decline in confidence in recent months, in a broader historical context, business sentiment is good and consistent with an economy that is expanding at the high end of its potential. View Full Analysis Reader's Choice Global Outlook: Calling All Hands Collective action is needed to protect the recovery. U.S. Macro Outlook: Myth Busting The electorate seems unconvinced, but solid fundamentals are driving the economy. U.S. Chartbook: Silencing the Critics Job growth and vehicle sales in February should allay concerns about the economy. U.S. Regional Outlook: The Expansion Continues The outlook is upbeat, for most of the country. Forecasters' Mailbag: Inflation, 'Bartender Recovery,' Oil Inventories Have a question on the economy? Send it along.
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