Today's Commentary Iran Struggles to Boost Oil Production Achievable increases will fail to offset lost production from U.S. shale formations. Hope on Migration Crisis Returning refugees to Turkey will be costly for Greece. BoJâs Mixed Messages Japan's 2% inflation target drifts into the horizon despite negative rates. Economic Briefing: Stocks Mixed on Low News Possible election and early budget fails to lift Australian stocks or the currency. View More Analysis Insight on Critical Issues U.S. Chartbook: How Data-Dependent Is the Fed? The turn in core inflation should stick, but the Fed does not seem so sure. U.S. Employment Outlook: High-Skilled Workers Face Hurdle Weakening R&D intensity stifles job creation among skilled workers in productive industries. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 18, 2016 First look at Q4 corporate profits could be scary. Spain Outlook: Sentiment Brightening Despite Risks The investment climate is favorable and the recovery is accelerating, but there are headwinds. View More Analysis Today's Releases View More Releases Survey of Business Confidence Latest: 30.5 Global business sentiment is stable, and consistent with an economy growing at its potential. This comes after several months of weakening confidence. The softer sentiment coincided with the turmoil in financial markets late last year and early this. Assessments of present conditions have been hit especially hard, while encouragingly, expectations regarding conditions later this year have held up much better. South American and, to a lesser degree, Asian companies are the most worried. Sentiment in these regions is consistent with below-potential growth. North American and European businesses are more upbeat, but sentiment has weakened in these regions as well. View Full Analysis Reader's Choice U.S. Macro Outlook: Myth Busting The electorate seems unconvinced, but solid fundamentals are driving the economy. U.S. Regional Outlook: The Expansion Continues The outlook is upbeat, for most of the country. U.S. Chartbook: Resilience is Tested The expansion is still in mid-cycle, but recent financial market tightness has tempered sentiment. Candidate Report Card: The Democrats Higher taxes, higher complexity, lower inequality. U.S. Workforce Expands Revised data show job growth, though slowing, was stronger than previously reported.
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