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Your predictions = Your investments |
Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated prediction market |
Prediction markets are booming. With billions wagered on real-world events, these markets aren’t just a curiosity — they’re an emerging asset class. |
And Kalshi is the only CFTC-approved platform, giving it a regulatory moat that competitors like Polymarket and PredictIt simply don’t have. |
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🔥 Hot markets right now: |
Who will win the Superbowl? Which Senators will vote for RFK? Who will win the Grammy for Song of the Year? |
Kalshi has built an entirely new asset class that gives Americans full control over their investments. |
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Psst — Wanna level up quickly? Read our issue: Prediction Markets Explained |
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📰 Market Headlines |
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Markets rallied after China imposed retaliatory tariffs on US goods, with investors eyeing potential trade negotiations. |
The S&P 500 climbed 1.2%, the Dow rose 0.9%, and the Nasdaq jumped nearly 1.4%. |
US job openings dropped by 556,000 to 7.6 million in December, the largest decline in 14 months. |
President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu held a joint press conference in which DJT promised to annex the Gaza strip. |
RFK Jr.'s nomination for Health Secretary cleared a key Senate panel. |
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🎰 Alts this week |
Gold keeps smashing through records while uranium and other metals climb. What gives? |
🧠 Make yourself heard |
Yesterday, DJT floated the idea of removing Palestinians from Gaza: |
"You have to get people out of there. You have to get them out. You have to spread them to different parts of the world." |
And then occupying, annexing, and developing the territory: |
“The U.S. will take over the Gaza Strip, and we will do a job with it, too. We’ll own it and be responsible for dismantling all of the dangerous unexploded bombs and other weapons on the site. Level the site and get rid of the destroyed buildings.” |
🇵🇸 DJT's plan sounds like |
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📊 Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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Gold has exploded past $2,800 for the first time in history Active listings are up 24.6% nationally from January 2024 to January 2025, but still 25.3% below pre-pandemic levels. |
😱 Fear and Greed Index |
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📊 Winners and losers |
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Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions |
AMD forecast Q1 revenue of $7.1 billion above Wall Street estimates as shares climbed 3%. Snap beat Q4 expectations with revenue up 14% to $1.56 billion and reached 453 million daily active users; shares jumped 10.37%. Alphabet missed revenue expectations and shares plunged 8%. Pfizer topped Q4 estimates as Covid product sales beat expectations, but shares drifted 1.37%. PayPal surpassed earnings expectations and announced a new $15 billion buyback program; shares slipped 1.3%. |
Market movers |
Public Citizen sued the Treasury Department, alleging unlawful access to payment systems by Elon Musk and his 'DOGE' group. The CFTC halted Robinhood’s Super Bowl betting product just one day after launch. Figure AI dropped its OpenAI partnership in favor of in-house AI models. Estee Lauder announced plans to cut 7,000 jobs, 11% of its workforce. |
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🌍 Global Perspectives | | 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 President Trump proposed the permanent displacement of Gazans in pivotal talks with Netanyahu at the White House. 🇸🇾 🇮🇷 Syria's new leader denounced Iran, calling its proxies a regional threat. 🇸🇪 About 10 people were killed at an adult education center in what officials say is Sweden's worst mass shooting. 🇯🇵 Record-breaking snowfall disrupted daily life in northern Japan, causing airport closures and traffic jams. |
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Wall Street loads up on surprising $2.1tn asset class |
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Bank of America. UBS. JP Morgan. They’re all building (or have already built) massive investments in one $2.1tn asset class—and it’s not what you think. It’s not private equity or real estate, but fine art. Why? |
In partnership with Masterworks, data from Citi shows it’s a potent diversifier with low correlation, and certain segments have even outpaced traditional investments. Take blue-chip contemporary art, which has outpaced the S&P 500 by 64% (1995-2023). |
Masterworks knows the power of art investing, with their platform giving 900k+ users the opportunity to invest in this asset class as part of their overall portfolio strategy. In fact, from their 23 exits so far, Masterworks investors have realized representative annualized net returns like +17.6%, +17.8%, and +21.5%* (among assets held for longer than one year). |
With so many users, Masterworks offerings can sell out quickly. |
Our readers can diversify right away by clicking here to skip their waitlist. |
Past performance not indicative of future returns. Investing Involves Risk. See Important Disclosures at masterworks.com/cd. |
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📊 Crypto | | El Salvador backed away from its Bitcoin experiment after striking a $1.4 billion IMF deal. MicroStrategy halted purchases after accumulating 471,107 BTC worth $30 billion, ending a 12-week buying spree. | |
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🎤 What you said last time |
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What you had to say: |
“Do you even Drone bro?!” |
🧠 Miscellanea | New Zealand just granted personhood to a mountain, giving it the same rights as a human. Turns out penguins aren't as monogamous as we thought - Little Penguins have a divorce rate of up to 50%. A Georgia man got 475 years in prison for dogfighting. |
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📺 What to Watch Today |
| New Zealand mountain granted personhood, recognizing it as sacred for Māori |
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That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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