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| | Friday, Benedict showed you how to bet big on Boeing (shares) crashing and burning this spring. | | My flight to Mexico this week, probably. |
| Check out the report |
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The World's First Exchange-Listed Portfolio of Pre-IPO Shares |
The problem with secondary markets is that they're all private, right? |
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DXYZ plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange in March. |
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๐ฐ Market Headlines |
| *past 24-hour performance |
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The S&P broke 5,000 last week and finished the week up 1%. The Nasdaq topped 2% while the Dow Jones was up slightly. Bitcoin continues to moon, topping $48k over the weekend, while both gold and oil went sideways. Big week for the big picture: The CPI comes out Tuesday along with jobs data. Consumer sentiment, the PPI, and housing starts are out Friday. Congrats to the Chiefs and Swifties, and condolences to my dad, a big-time 49ers supporter. |
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๐ถ๏ธ Market Vibes |
๐ฐ Market Forecasts and Futures |
21% of traders STILL think the Fed will cut rates in March. The number on Kalshi is much closer to reality. |
The CME also still shows six full rate cuts in 2024 as the most likely outcome. Itโs four on Kalshi. I think 2 - 3 is right. |
Easy money there if you want it [disclosure: I have tiny positions on No rate cuts in March and between one and three rate cuts in 2024.] |
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๐ฑ Fear and Greed Index |
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๐ง What do you think? |
๐ No NFL team has ever won three Super Bowls in a row.Will the Chiefs do it next year? |
๐ Yes, Mahomes will get it done๐ No, the 49ers will come back stronger๐ No, someone else will win (say who in comments) |
๐ค What you said last time |
Everyone who chose BTC is up $1,500 over the weekend ๐๏ธ. | |
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One Bitcoin |
โ20% GOLD - 80% BTC would also be a good play. I even propose a better one: 10% GOLD - 10% SILVER - 50% BTC - 20% ETH - 5% ATOM - 5% FILโ |
โIf I had to choose, even if Bitcoin seems a bit like buying air or something not real. . . .things are only as valuable as the market saysโ |
One kg gold: |
โGold will definitely have increased in value in 10 years' time; not so sure about Bitcoin. As Bill Gates said, "unless you're as wealthy as Musk - watch out" |
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๐ Trends you need to know | Search results are from our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends. | |
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I donโt know if itโs a good sign that people are taking cyber security seriously or if itโs a bad thing they donโt already. |
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๐ Stocks |
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Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathawayโs portfolio with just a few clicks. |
Winners and losers |
Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions |
Take-Two Interactive, the publisher of GTA, cut its guidance. Shares down nearly 10%. Pinterest, which I didnโt know still existed, missed estimates. Shares down about 10%. Expedia also missed badly. Shares down more than 17%. |
Market movers |
Former Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos sold of $2 billion worth of shares with more sales to come. Tesla cut prices by $1k on Model Y vehicles. Nvidia plans to spend up to $1 trillion on data centers over the next four or five years. Meanwhile, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman could be raising up to $7 trillion to build out AI chip supply. |
Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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๐ Global Perspectives | ๐ฉ๐ช Germanyโs economy is in real trouble. | ๐ The Wagner Group, which became notorious as Putinโs mercenaries in Ukraine, has established a presence in a number of African countries. | ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ธ Washington is turning up the heat on Israel, demanding fewer civilian casualties. |
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๐ Income | | Yields continue to rise as the markets come to terms with a stubborn Fed. How to create a diversified bond portfolio yielding 6%. |
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๐ Crypto | | Another $100k call for Bitcoin as the cryptocurrency flies past $48k over the weekend. |
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๐ง Errata | All the companies that advertised in last nightโs Super Bowl. Wealth disparities by race grew during the pandemic. |
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๐บ What to Watch Today |
My favorite advertisement yesterday |
| Dunkinโ โThe DunKingsโ ft Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, Tom Brady, Jack Harlow, Jennifer Lopez, & Fat Joe |
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Thatโs all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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