Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Job Engine Losing Steam

Supply constraints and rising costs are tapping the brakes on private sector employment.

Europe Daily Briefing: Better Late Than Never

May hopes for a cross-party compromise, while U.K. PMI data for March were abysmal.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Australia's Feeble Consumer

March quarter GDP growth is tracking at 0.65% q/q.

Economic Roundup: Could've Been Better

Q1 GDP is on track to rise 2%, not too shabby given the temporary drags.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Road to Recession: The R-Word Is Premature

Temporary factors have hurt the economy in the short term.

U.S. Chartbook: Temporary Weakness

Some indicators disappointed due to fleeting factors, but the labor market is sanguine.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 29, 2019

A run of solid data would temper concerns about a downturn.

Let's Talk About the Yield Curve

Recession signal likely overdone unless we talk ourselves into a downturn.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Euro Zone
Retail Sales
Feb. 2019: 0.4%
Euro zone retail sales rose by an above-consensus 0.4% m/m in February, building on an upwardly revised 0.9% increase in January.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
March 29: 18.6%
After several weeks of robust gains, the mortgage market witnessed an explosion of activity during the week of March 29, with the top-line market index increasing 18.6% on the back of a huge increase in refinancing.

United States
ADP National Employment Report
Mar. 2019: 129,000
The labor market is showing signs of slowing.

United States
ISM Nonmanufacturing Index
Mar. 2019: 56.1
Economic activity in the nonmanufacturing sector rose in March for the 110th consecutive month, but the breadth of growth narrowed moderately.

United States
Oil Inventories
March 29: 449.5 mil barrels
A very large and unexpected increase in oil inventories will put downward pressure on oil prices.

Uruguay
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2019: 7.8%
Consumer price growth in Uruguay rose to 7.8% in March on a year-ago basis, accelerating from last month’s 7.5% reading.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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