Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: The Economics of Hurricane Laura

Regional costs could be significant but the impact on U.S. GDP will be modest.

LatAm Briefing: Brazil Bulls Cheer Jobs Stampede

We still believe that our call for a larger annual contraction is fair play.

School Reopenings Put Students and the Economy at Risk

U.S. states mandating in-person instruction may be trading short-term economic gains for long-term malaise.

Europe Daily Briefing: Challenging Times for French Consumers

France is winding down its short-term work scheme, which will drive up unemployment.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Forecasting Remittance Inflows to the Philippines During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Our model shows a strong recovery during the second half of the year.

Updating Our Brexit Baseline

We now expect the EU and the U.K. to reach a thin deal by the end of the year.

U.S. COVID-19 Tracker Update: Game Changers

What's next as direct relief to the economy under the CARES Act has practically ground to a halt?

U.S. Chartbook: Looking for a Spark

New data indicated that the economy’s performance did not deteriorate further, nor did it improve materially.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Singapore
Industrial Production
Jul. 2020: -8.4%
Singapore’s industrial production contracted by 8.4% y/y in July, extending the fall in manufacturing output since May.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
August 21: -6.5%
Mortgage applications dropped by 6.5% over the week of August 21, compounding a 3.3% decline the week prior.

Mexico
Economic Activity Index
Jun. 2020: -13.2%
Mexico’s economic activity started a reactivation in June as the businesses began reopening and raised the volume of production.

Mexico
GDP
2020Q2: -18.7%
Mexico’s economy reported a severe annual contraction in the second quarter as the COVID-19 pandemic paralyzed several activities and affected the labor market. As a result, in the second quarter, GDP reported an annual contraction of 18.7%, after a fall of 1.3% in the previous quarter and a decrease of 1.1% a year earlier.

United States
Durable Goods (Advance)
Jul. 2020: 11.2%
U.S. durable goods orders have surged over the past few months.

United States
Oil Inventories
August 21: 507.8 mil barrels
A larger than expected decline in oil inventories will put upward pressure on oil prices.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
August 21: 214.4
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index slipped from 214.6 to 214.4 in the week ended August 21.

France
Job Seekers
Jul. 2020: 3.79 mil
The number of French job seekers fell by 172,200 to 3.79 million in July.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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