Today's Economy U.S. Quits Rate Has Room to Rise Confidence in the labor market is strong and more quits would be a good sign for wage growth. Inventories Now Set to Add to Q2 U.S. GDP We are raising our second quarter tracking estimate from 2.3% to 2.5%. Examining the North Korea Risk The economic implications of North Korea's actions have so far been minimal. Economic Briefing: Chinese Inflation Cools a Whisker China's Q3 GDP is tracking at 6.4% y/y, reflecting the handful of disappointing July datapoints. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Euro Zone Labour Market May Hit a Wall Joblessness is declining, but structural problems will hold back further gains at some point. New Zealand Outlook: The Quiet Achiever Consumption will remain above trend thanks to the healthy labour market; wages are the laggard. U.S. Macro Outlook: What Could Go Wrong? Despite good prospects for the economy, political bedlam in Washington means uncertainty in the near term. U.S. Chartbook: Whither Wage Growth? July employment paves the way for the Fed to begin normalizing its balance sheet, but wage growth underwhelms. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Italy Industrial Production Jun. 2017: 1.1% Italy’s industrial production expanded sharply in June, rising by 1.1% from May, well above our expectation of a 0.3% gain. Brazil Consumer Price Index Jul. 2017: 2.71% Brazil’s inflation plunged further from the 4.5% central target in July as the economy underperformed. United States MBA Mortgage Applications Survey August 04: 3.0% Mortgage applications increased last week, as most rates declined. Canada Housing Starts Jul. 2017: 222 ths New construction ramped up in July. Canada Building Permits Jun. 2017: 2.5% The value of Canadian building permits rose 2.5% to C$8.1 billion in June, causing year-ago growth to rise to 22.5%. United States Productivity and Costs 2017Q2: 0.9% Nonfarm productivity rose 0.9% at an annualized rate in the second quarter. Mexico Consumer Price Index Jul. 2017: 6.44% Annual inflation keeps climbing well above the upper limit of the official target as some prices adjust upward. United States Wholesale Trade (MWTR) Jun. 2017: 0.7% Stockpile growth closed the second quarter on a high note, but sales were not strong enough to drive down the inventory turnover rate. United States Oil Inventories August 04: 475.4 mil barrels A much larger than expected decline in crude oil inventories will put upward pressure on prices. Philippines Industrial Production Jun. 2017: New Zealand Monetary Policy Aug. 2017: Japan Machinery Orders Jun. 2017: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |