Today's Economy Economic Roundup: Fed Makes Expected Rate Hike As expected, the Fed raised the fed funds rate by 50 basis points at December’s FOMC meeting. LatAm Daily Briefing: Dominican Republic’s Dilemma The central bank must manage inflation without negatively affecting the economy. Europe Daily Briefing: Has Inflation Peaked in the U.K.? Looking deeper into the details, the picture isn’t so bright. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Japan’s Tankan Surprises on the Upside The domestic recovery has further to go, but external disruptions cloud the outlook. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary A Cold Front Hits U.S. Inflation The December CPI will likely be on the soft side again. Emerging Market View: Surprise Me Not There is little room for deviations from script. Consumers Will Spend More in 2023 Growth will be modest, but it will not fall under the weight of losses in wealth, slowing job growth, and low confidence because of healthy real income growth. Getting Inflation Back in Its Bottle The U.S. economy is in serious jeopardy, but our baseline outlook still says prices can be tamed and recession isn't inevitable. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Spain Consumer Price Index Nov. 2022: 6.8% y/y In November, Spain's consumer price index declined to 6.8% in yearly terms, after a 7.3% gain in October. Sweden Consumer Price Index Nov. 2022: 11.5% y/y Swedish CPI increased by 1% month over month in November, pushing the year-over-year rate to 11.5% from 10.9% in October. United Kingdom Consumer Price Index Nov. 2022: 10.7% y/y In November, CPI inflation was 10.7%, down from 11.1% in October. Euro Zone Industrial Production Oct. 2022: -2.0% m/m Euro zone’s industrial production plunged by 2% m/m in October after a 0.8% rise in September (revised down from 0.9%). Austria Employment and the Labour Market Nov. 2022: 6.1% The Austrian labour market showed little weakness in November, posting a slight uptick in unemployment to 6.1% after a 6% reading in October. Finland Consumer Price Index Nov. 2022: 9.1% y/y Finland’s annual inflation rate climbed higher in November, accelerating to 9.1% year over year from 8.3% in October. Portugal Consumer Price Index Nov. 2022: 0 United States NFIB Small Business Survey Nov. 2022: 91.9 The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.6 percentage point in November as inflation pressures eased. United States MBA Mortgage Applications Survey December 09: 3.2% Mortgage activity rose 3.2% in the week ended December 2, the largest weekly gain since early October. United States Import and Export Prices Nov. 2022: -0.6% m/m U.S. import prices fell 0.6% in November after declining 0.4% in the prior month. Canada Survey of Manufacturing Oct. 2022: 2.8% m/m Manufacturing rebounded strongly in October. United States Oil Inventories December 09: 424.1 mil barrels An unexpected build in crude oil inventories will put downward pressure on prices. United States FOMC Monetary Policy Dec. 2022: 4.25% to 4.5% After starting 2022 at zero, the Federal Reserve’s most aggressive tightening cycle since the early 1980s has lifted the target range for the fed funds rate to end the year at 4.25% to 4.5%. New Zealand GDP 2022Q3: Japan Foreign Trade Nov. 2022: Australia Employment Situation Nov. 2022: China Fixed-Asset Investment Nov. 2022: China Industrial Production Nov. 2022: China Retail Sales Nov. 2022: Indonesia Foreign Trade Nov. 2022: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |