Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, December 19, 2019

Today's Economy


LatAm Daily Briefing: Argentine Peso Falls on Black Market

The move follows the government's decision to levy a 30% tax on nonessential dollar transactions.

Europe Daily Briefing: BoE Meeting as Boring as They Come

The bank revised down its nowcast for fourth-quarter growth to 0.1% from 0.2% previously.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Aussie Labour Market Not All Rosy

The trend unemployment rate was 5.2% in November, but underlying conditions have mostly cooled.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Peru Marches to a Slower Beat

What was once the region’s strongest major economy has little room for improvement before the end of this year.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Tariffs Tracker: One Step Closer to a Trade Deal

It is premature to say we are at the beginning of the end of the trade wars.

U.S. Chartbook: Tune Out the Noise, Signal Is Strong

Calendar quirks distorted data on retail sales and initial jobless claims.

U.S. Macro Outlook: Two Economies

How Americans perceive the economy’s performance and prospects varies significantly according to whether they are Republican or Democrat.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview: December 16, 2019

Overall, the data should take on a slightly better tone.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Indonesia
Monetary Policy
Dec. 2019: 5%
Bank Indonesia expectedly kept the seven-day repo rate at 5% in December.

Japan
Monetary Policy
Dec. 2019: ¥80 tril.
The Bank of Japan left its monetary policy unchanged at the December meeting.

United Kingdom
Retail Sales
Nov. 2019: 1.0%
U.K. retail sales disappointed and gained only 1% y/y in November, down sharply from a 3.1% rise in October and the weakest reading since April 2018.

United Kingdom
Monetary Policy and Minutes
Dec. 2019: 0.75%
As expected, the Bank of England voted to leave interest rates unchanged at 0.75% in December.

United States
Financial Obligations Ratio
2019Q3: 15.03%
Household financial burdens are low and very modestly declining.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Survey
Dec. 2019: 0.3
The Philadelphia Fed’s survey on manufacturing indicates that business activity was flat in December.

Canada
ADP Canada National Employment Report
Nov. 2019: 30,887
Employment in Canada increased by 30,900 jobs from October to November, according to the ADP Canada National Employment Report.

Canada
Earnings, Hours and Employment
Oct. 2019: 3.3%
Average weekly earnings turned flat in October, while total payrolls edged higher.

Canada
Wholesale Trade
Oct. 2019: -1.1%
Wholesale sales in Canada fell by 1.1% to C$64.2 billion in October.

United States
Current Account
2019Q3: -$124.1 bil
The current account deficit narrowed less than expected in the third quarter, falling to $124.1 billion from a revised $125.2 billion.

United States
Jobless Claims
December 14: 234,000
Initial claims remain elevated because of a calendar quirk.

United States
Existing-Home Sales
Nov. 2019: 5.35 mil
Existing-home sales slipped 1.7% in November amid a continuing decline in listings but still increased 2.7% year over year.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
December 13: -1.35
Financial market stress decreased in the week ended December 13.

United States
Conference Board Leading Indicators
Nov. 2019: 0.0%
Leading economic indicators point to further softening in the U.S. economy.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
December 13: -107 bil cubic feet
The decline in natural gas inventories beat analyst expectations, which will put some upward pressure on gas prices.

Mexico
Monetary Policy
Dec. 2019: 7.25%
The Bank of Mexico continued to ease monetary conditions at a gradual pace as risks remain on the horizon.

Japan
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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