Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Talking Fed's Balance Sheet

Fed's balance sheet is not that disruptive while there is progress on avoiding another shutdown.

Europe Daily Briefing: The BoE Can Wait, and It Will

Carney said the Brexit saga has taken a huge toll on the U.K. economy.

A Quality Adjustment for U.S. CPI

The change for telecommunications services will not significantly impact January CPI.

High-Yield Downgrades More Than Double Upgrades in the First Quarter

The U.S. high-yield downgrade per upgrade ratio has increased from the 1.45:1 of 2018’s final quarter to 2.36:1 for the unfinished first quarter of 2019.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


South America Under Hypothetical Stress Scenarios

Applying the Fed's latest CCAR parameters, the region’s recessions would be deeper than in the U.S.

Latin American Currency Highlights

Introducing the Moody's Analytics Currency Depreciation Indicator.

U.S. Chartbook: Businesses, Lenders Get a Little Jittery

Sentiment among producers and lenders is moderating as conditions soften.

Latin America Economic Preview: 11-15 February

Colombia's economy advanced at a steady rate.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Jan. 2019: 101.2
The NFIB small business optimism index declined from 104.4 in December to 101.2 in January, the lowest it has been since November 2016.

India
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019: 2.0%
India's CPI inflation decelerated further in January after falling sharply towards the year's end.

India
Industrial Production
Dec. 2018: 2.4%
India's industrial production rebounded in December following a sharp slowdown in November.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
February 08: 115.9
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index came in at 115.9 in the week ended February 8, up from 109.8 in the prior week.

United States
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
Dec. 2018: 4.7% openings rate
Jobs were plentiful at the end of 2018, and the labor market ended the year on a strong note.

United States
NAR Metro Prices
2018Q4: 4.0%
Fourth quarter Realtor numbers for U.S. metro areas confirm a slowdown in the U.S. housing market.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Jan. 2019:

China
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2019:

South Korea
Employment
Jan. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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