Today's Economy Economic Roundup: Shakened but Not Stirred The lousy week of data didn't significantly alter our confidence in the state of the economy. Canada Weekly: A Sticky Situation Canada's maple empire faces growing threats from U.S. producers and climate change. The Political Economy of Trump’s National Emergency Declaration The politics of wall construction eclipse the economics. Europe Daily Briefing: Finally Some Good News From the U.K.! Retail sales surged in January, as consumers remain willing to spend despite Brexit. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, February 15, 2019 Odds are rising that the Fed's balance sheet runoff will end sooner than some anticipate. Macro Roundup: A Close Look at China’s Start to 2019 Stimulus effects are materializing along with the implications of the trade war. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 15 February, 2019 Euro zone CPI figures will confirm that inflation pressures cooled sharply. Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview, 15 February, 2019 Japan's core CPI likely remained shy of 1% y/y in January, and the BoJ will stay quiet in 2019. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
World Moody's Analytics Global GDP 2018Q3: 2.1% The global economy has slowed. India Foreign Trade Jan. 2019: -US$14.7 bil Spain Consumer Price Index Jan. 2019: 1% Spanish inflation further eased to 1% in January from 1.2% thanks to a sharp drop in prices of clothes and tourism packages. United Kingdom Retail Sales Jan. 2019: 4.2% U.K. retail sales beat expectations and accelerated to 4.2% y/y in January, from 3.1% in December. Euro Zone External Trade Dec. 2018: €17 bil The euro zone’s external trade surplus narrowed to €17 billion in December from €24.5 billion a year earlier. Peru Unemployment Jan. 2019: 6.5% The job market in the Lima metropolitan area continues to improve. Russian Federation Industrial Production Jan. 2019: 1.1% Russian industrial production rose 1.1% year over year in the first month of 2019, the weakest improvement since December 2017. Canada International Transactions in Securities Dec. 2018: -C$19.0 bil Foreign investors rushed for the exit in December, leading to a record decline in their Canadian bond holdings. United States Import and Export Prices Jan. 2019: -0.5% The U.S. isn’t importing a noticeable amount of inflation, further supporting the Fed’s plan to keep monetary policy unchanged for the foreseeable future. United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey Feb. 2019: 8.8 After consecutive monthly declines, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey rebounded a bit in February. United States Industrial Production Jan. 2019: -0.6% Industrial production fell 0.6% in January, marking its first decline in eight months. United States MBA Delinquency Rates 2018Q4: 4.06% Fourth-quarter mortgage performance improved from the third quarter. United States University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey Feb. 2019: 95.5 Consumer sentiment managed a partial recovery in the preliminary February report, regaining 4.3 points after last month’s slide. United States CreditForecast.com Household Credit Report Jan. 2019: 3.87% U.S. household borrowing grew by 0.54%, or $70 billion, in January. United States Treasury International Capital Flows Dec. 2018: -$48.3 bil Net long-term flows fell in December, the first outflow in six months. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |