| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: A U.S. Labor Market Data Head Fake? January is normally a rough month but seasonal layoffs are likely less severe this year. Q1 U.S. GDP Tracking Has Started Our initial estimate is for first-quarter growth of 4.8% at an annualized rate. Europe Daily Briefing: Euro Zone Inflation Spikes on Base Effects That inflation picked up in January isn't a signal that the economy is heating up. LatAm Daily Briefing: Uruguay's Efforts Begin to Deliver Brazilian industry continued to strengthen at the end of the year, leading the recovery there. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
U.S. COVID-19 Tracker Update: More Light at the End of the Tunnel Timing on a new fiscal relief package is critical. U.S. Chartbook: Time for a Breather Recent data on home sales suggest housing is primed for a cooldown. U.S. Risk Matrix Update: Here We Go Again Negotiations continue about the next round of fiscal relief. This Week in the COVID Crisis A bipartisan compromise on the next fiscal stimulus would ensure that support gets to the economy quickly. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Thailand
Monetary Policy
Feb. 2021: 0.5%
The Bank of Thailand kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% during its scheduled meeting in February, as fiscal measures take the lead in reviving the economy amid a renewed outbreak of COVID-19. Euro Zone
Preliminary Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2021: 0.9%
Preliminary estimates report that the euro zone’s harmonized index of consumer prices rose by 0.9% y/y in January, up considerably from the 0.3% decline in December. United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
January 29: 8.1%
Mortgage applications jumped by 8.1% in the week of January 29, after sliding by 4.1% in the previous week. United States
Vehicle Sales - BEA
Jan. 2021: 16.6 mil, SAAR
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported U.S. unit vehicle sales remained above 16 million seasonally adjusted units in January. United States
ADP National Employment Report
Jan. 2021: 174,000
The labor market recovery remains on uneasy footing. United States
Monthly GDP
Dec. 2020: -0.2%
The U.S. economy lost momentum in December, setting up unfavorably growth early this year. United States
ISM Nonmanufacturing Index
Jan. 2021: 58.7
Survey-based data continue to point to resiliency in the nonmanufacturing sector despite high levels of COVID-19 cases and tighter restrictions. United States
Oil Inventories
January 29: 475.7 mil barrels
Last week’s decline in crude oil inventories closely matched analyst expectations, indicating that this report should have little effect on oil prices. Australia
Datium Insights - Moody’s Analytics Used Vehicle Price Index
Jan. 2021: 35.8%
Used vehicles remain a hot commodity in Australia. Uruguay
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2021: 8.9%
United States
Semiconductor Billings
Dec. 2020: -0.6%
Global semiconductor sales ended the year with a whimper, declining 0.6% from their November level. This marks the first month-to-month decline in chip set sales since June 2020. Australia
Foreign Trade
Dec. 2020:
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