| Today's Economy
Final Thoughts Ahead of June's CPI We anticipate a 0.2% increase in the CPI and 0.3% increase in core CPI. Europe Daily Briefing: Upping the Ante Negotiations heat up, but we still expect resolution. China Posts Stellar Trade Surplus Despite Reduced Exports to the U.S. Rising exports to ASEAN and the EU partly offset reduced shipments to the U.S. Economic Roundup: Looking Ahead The U.S. economic calendar will get busy next week, starting with the June CPI report. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Global Outlook: Risks at Every Turn The world economy is fragile, and it would not take much to tip it over. Japan’s Political Fault Lines Deepen Ahead of Upper House Election Economic discontent and populist rhetoric dominate as the ruling coalition fights to hold its majority. Leading the Cycle: A Machine Learning Approach to Recession Risk Moody’s Analytics has developed a new machine learning model to estimate the probability of a U.S. recession within the next year. Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, July 11, 2025 Argentina's annual inflation rate likely dropped to 39.5% in June from 43.5% in the previous month. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Finland
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2025: 0.2% y/y
Finland’s CPI inflation rate dropped to 0.2% y/y in June after holding at 0.5% for four consecutive months. Sweden
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2025: 0.7% y/y
Sweden’s consumer price inflation ramped up in June to 0.7% y/y from 0.2% in May. India
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2025: 2.1% y/y
In June, India’s consumer price index rose 2.1% year over year, down significantly from 2.8% in the prior month. Canada
Wholesale Trade
May. 2025: -0.5% m/m
Total wholesale sales dropped again in May. World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
July 11: 15.3%
Global business sentiment appears to be weathering the global trade war reasonably well. United States
California Manufacturing Survey
2025Q3: 55.4
Argentina
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2025: 39.4% y/y
The national consumer price index increased 1.6% month on month in June, following a 1.5% rise in the previous month and a 4.6% increase a year earlier. China
Fixed-Asset Investment
Jun. 2025:
China
GDP
2025Q2:
China
Industrial Production
Jun. 2025:
China
Retail Sales
Jun. 2025:
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