Today's Economy Cutting Our Tracking Estimate for Q2 GDP U.S. growth is now reading 1.8% at an annualized rate; inventories are a key culprit. Europe Daily Briefing: France Will Steal the Spotlight This Year U.K. mortgage approvals dipped in May, but the housing market is still surprisingly solid. U.S. Retail Revisions Deepen the Puzzle Revisions are minor in aggregate, but recent volatility is more extreme than prior data showed. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: New Zealand and Thailand Hold Rates Easing is on the cards, especially in New Zealand. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Do U.S. Primary Election Debates Matter? They do, especially when the debate stage is crowded. Macro Roundup: The Need to Calm Down The trade war's rising collateral damage was clear at Asia's recent central bank meetings. U.S. Employment Outlook: Not if, but When A downturn is coming, but the timing is uncertain. U.S. Chartbook: Not Feeling So Hot Sentiment numbers are swooning despite the still-strong economy. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Thailand Monetary Policy Jun. 2019: 1.75% The Bank of Thailand kept the policy rate at 1.75% in June. Uruguay GDP 2019Q1: -0.2% Uruguay’s economy contracted in the first quarter of 2019. United States MBA Mortgage Applications Survey June 21: 1.3% In the week of June 21 the top-line index ticked up 1.3%, after bond yields mostly held steady and the Fed opted to take a pass on a rate cut. United States Advance Wholesale and Retail Inventories May. 2019: 0.4% U.S. stockpiles are rising at a steady pace. United States International Trade in Goods - Advanced May. 2019: -$74.5 bil The nominal goods deficit swelled to $74.5 billion in May as imports rose by more than exports. United States Durable Goods (Advance) May. 2019: -1.3% New orders for durable manufactured goods fell 1.3% in May, their third decrease in the last four months. Mexico Employment Situation May. 2019: 3.51% Unemployment Unemployment remained high in May as companies continued to adjust jobs. United States Oil Inventories June 21: 469.6 mil barrels A massive drop in crude oil inventories will put upward pressure on oil prices. France Job Seekers May. 2019: 3.38 mil The number of French job seekers increased slightly to 3.38 million in May from a five-year low of 3.37 million in April. Argentina Economic Activity Indicator Apr. 2019: -1.31% Argentina's statistics office’s monthly economic activity index, IMAE, fell 1.3% y/y in April, after dropping 6.9% in March. Japan Retail Sales May. 2019: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |