Today's Economy Economic Roundup: Job Losses Will Abate as a Slow Crawl Toward Recovery Begins Nonfarm employment will slide further in May, but signs point to near-term improvement. LatAm Daily Briefing: Argentina Closer to Debt Restructuring Financial markets reacted favorably to the new proposal. April U.S. Trade Deficit Does Q2 No Favors The widening in the trade deficit cut into our tracking estimate for GDP. Europe Daily Briefing: The ECB Launches Its Firepower Euro zone retail sales plunged in April, while Germany will unleash more fiscal stimulus. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary For Most U.S. Regions, It's Ready, Set, Crawl Real-time indicators show stabilization and reveal the importance of structural factors. Canada Outlook: Malaise Replaces Recession GDP has likely stopped contracting, but prospects for a strong, sustained recovery remain distant. New National Security Law, Old Problems Possible developments such as restricted access to capital markets could inflict long-term damage to Hong Kong’s reputation as an important financial hub. Russia Is Fighting on Two Fronts The global pandemic and simultaneous oil price slump present a unique challenge. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Malaysia Foreign Trade Apr. 2020: -MYR3.5 bil Malaysia’s exports slumped 23.8% y/y in April, the largest fall since September 2009 during the financial crisis. Euro Zone Retail Sales Apr. 2020: -11.7% Euro zone retail sales slumped by 11.7% m/m in April, the largest decline on record, and built on an 11.1% fall in March. United States Challenger Report May. 2020: 397,016 Job cuts in May decreased to 397,016, down from the historic 671,129 cuts announced in April but still well above the year-ago figure of 58,577. Euro Zone Monetary Policy Jun. 2020: 0.0% As we expected, the European Central Bank further eased monetary policy conditions during its June meeting. Canada International Merchandise Trade Apr. 2020: -C$ 3.25 bil Canada's merchandise exports fell by 29.7% in April to C$32.7 billion, reaching their lowest level in over 10 years. United States Jobless Claims May 30: 1,877,000 The number of Americans filing for unemployment insurance benefits is steadily declining. United States Productivity and Costs 2020Q1: -0.9% There was a sizable upward revision to productivity in the first quarter, which is now shown to have slipped just 0.9% at an annualized rate compared with a 2.5% drop in the advance estimate. United States International Trade (FT900) Apr. 2020: -$49.4 bil The trade deficit widened in April as exports fell by more than imports. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index May 29: -0.12 The St. United States Natural Gas Storage Report May 29: 102 bil cubic feet The increase in natural gas stocks fell short of analyst predictions, which will give a modest boost to gas prices. Argentina Industrial Production - Advance Apr. 2020: -33.5% Industrial output sunk 33.5% y/y in April (NSA) as the country remained in lockdown for the entire month amid the COVID-19 pandemic. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |