| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: Kicking the Can U.K. vote against a no-deal Brexit suggests an extension of Article 50 is coming. Surprises in Latest U.S. Data Durable goods orders and construction spending lowered our tracking estimate for Q4 GDP but nudged Q1 higher. Europe Daily Briefing: Brexit Eclipses Spring Statement Any fiscal stimulus measures will wait until a Brexit deal is struck. High-Default Rate’s Projected Slide Implicitly Assumes an Expansion of Profits Into 2020 Since 1982, the growth of profits has helped to assure adequate systemic liquidity. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
What Happens After May's Bitter Defeat? An extension of Article 50 is likely, but this doesn’t mean Brexit is resolved. The Next Budget Battle in Washington DC Trump’s budget, though a wish list, kicks off the next showdown over the federal budget. U.S. Chartbook: Economy Hits a Big Bump A trifecta of factors will cause GDP growth to be soft this quarter. Global Outlook: Weaker Growth, Pervasive Downside Risks Elevated geopolitical risks threaten to accelerate the slowdown in global demand. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Spain
Consumer Price Index
Feb. 2019: 1.1%
Spain's inflation rose 1.1% in year-ago terms in February, insignificantly different from the 1% rise in January, as clothing sales are assumed to be an ongoing drag on the prices. Euro Zone
Industrial Production
Jan. 2019: 1.4%
Euro zone industrial production rose by an above-consensus 1.4% m/m in January, fully reversing December’s 0.9% fall. United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
March 08: 2.3%
In the week ended March 8, the mortgage market picked back up, with the top-line market index increasing 2.3%. Brazil
Industrial Production
Jan. 2019: -2.6%
Though Brazil's national industry stayed in negative territory at the start of the year, it reported a milder contraction. United States
Producer Price Index
Feb. 2019: 0.1%
Producer prices pose little immediate threat to U.S. inflationary dynamics. United States
Durable Goods (Advance)
Jan. 2019: 0.4%
New orders for durable manufactured goods increased 0.4% in January, their third consecutive monthly advance. United States
Internet Sales (E-Commerce Sales)
2018Q4: $132.8 bil
Internet sales are making robust gains, even as total retail sales weaken. Mexico
Industrial Production
Jan. 2019: -0.9%
Mexico’s industry started the year with an extended annual contraction, typical of the political transition. United States
Construction Spending (C30)
Jan. 2019: 1.3%
Construction spending increased 1.3% from the revised December estimate, solidly above consensus expectations of a 0.4% increase. United States
Oil Inventories
March 08: 449.1 mil barrels
An unexpected decline in oil inventories will put upward pressure on oil prices. China
Fixed Asset Investment
Feb. 2019:
China
Industrial Production
Feb. 2019:
China
Retail Sales
Jan. 2019:
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