Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Surprising Strength in U.K. Labor Market and U.S. Inventories

U.K. labor market holding up despite Brexit issues.

U.S. Inventories Could Be Less of an Issue in Q1

Nondurable goods inventories jumped in January.

Europe Daily Briefing: Bank of England Is in a Bind

Despite a strong case for tightening now, we expect the BoE to hold off raising interest rates.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Australia's Central Bank Gets Real

There were "significant uncertainties" to the outlook and odds are balanced between a cut or hike.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Regional Outlook: Strength in the Mountain West

The year ahead will be favorable for all regions, even as late-cycle challenges gather.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 15, 2019

The Federal Open Market Committee meeting next week will put pen to paper on its recent dovish pivot.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 15 March, 2019

More votes are ahead on U.K. Brexit measures.

Australia Outlook: Households Retreat

Rate hikes are off the table until mid-2021, and the odds of a rate cut in the next year sit at 35%.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United Kingdom
Unemployment
Feb. 2019: 3.9%
Beating all expectations, the U.K.'s jobless rate fell to 3.9% in the January quarter, its lowest in 44 years.

United States
Financial Obligations Ratio
2018Q4: 15.33%
Household financial burdens are low and holding steady.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
March 15: 128.9
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index came in at 128.9 for the week ending March 15, compared with the 129.1 in the prior month.

United States
State and Local Government Tax Revenue
2018Q4:

United States
Factory Orders (M3)
Jan. 2019: 0.1%
Factory orders rose 0.1% in January, their second consecutive monthly advance.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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