Today's Economy Economic Roundup: A Mild Disappointment for U.S. Consumer Spending Q4 GDP is coming in lighter than previously thought, but markets rally as tax bill odds improve. Trump Will Nominate Goodfriend to Federal Reserve Board He leans hawkish but could lead the debate on how to address the next recession. U.S. Consumer Spending Comes in Light in October Q4 GDP is now tracking 2.2%. Economic Briefing: Chinese Manufacturers Cheery Through Q4 Tech keeps lifting Japanese and Korean production; Bank of Korea hiked rates. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Latin America Economic Preview: 4-8 December Inflation is below target in Brazil and Chile, and above target in Colombia and Mexico. Diagnosis Is Correct; Will Macron’s Reforms Be the Cure? French government seizes the opportunity to implement structural reforms and fiscal consolidation. Chile Outlook: Back to Normal The economy is recovering, but low capacity will restrain growth. Russia Outlook: A Modest Recovery Robust consumption and investments in the energy industry drive the turnaround. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Japan Housing Starts Oct. 2017: -4.8% Japan's housing activity continues to dive. United Kingdom Nationwide Housing Price Index Nov. 2017: 2.5% The Nationwide Housing Price Index remained stable at 2.5% y/y in November, below the consensus at 2.7%. Thailand Private Consumption Oct. 2017: 1.4% Private consumption rose 1.4% y/y in October following a 2.9% rise in the prior month. Thailand Foreign Trade Oct. 2017: US$1.6 bil Thailand’s trade surplus fell to US$1.6 billion in October from US$5.4 billion in September. Germany Lending by Banks Oct. 2017: 4.4% German bank lending to the private sector rose further in October. Germany Retail Sales Oct. 2017: -1.2% German retail sales disappointed at the start of the last quarter of this year, falling 1.2% m/m from September, when they rose by 0.5%. Spain GDP 2017Q3: 0.8% Spain's real GDP gained 0.8% q/q in the third quarter, only a touch lower than the 0.9% q/q expansion in the previous stanza. Germany Unemployment Nov. 2017: 5.6% Germany’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained at 5.6% in November, after falling to this record low in September. Italy Unemployment Oct. 2017: 11.1% Italy’s unemployment rate stayed stable at 11.1% in October from September and declined from October 2016. Euro Zone Preliminary Consumer Price Index Nov. 2017: 1.5% Euro zone annual harmonized inflation accelerated to 1.5% in November, above our expectations that it would be unchanged from 1.4% in the previous month. Euro Zone Unemployment Oct. 2017: 8.8% The euro zone’s jobless rate fell to 8.8% in October, its lowest reading since January 2009, from 8.9% in September. Brazil Employment Situation Oct. 2017: 12.2% Unemployment in Brazil continues to decline gradually as the recovery advances. India GDP 2017Q3: 6.3% Chile Employment Oct. 2017: 6.7% The national unemployment rate averaged 6.7% in the August-October rolling quarter, up from 6.4% a year earlier. Canada Balance of International Payments 2017Q3: -C$19.3 bil Canada's seasonally adjusted current account deficit increased to C$19.3 billion in the third quarter, largely because the merchandise trade deficit widened for the third consecutive quarter. Canada Earnings, Hours and Employment Sep. 2017: 3.1% Canadian earnings made significant gains in September, although the rate of job creation slowed. United States Personal Income Oct. 2017: 0.4% Nominal personal income rose 0.4% in October, beating our forecast of a 0.3% increase. United States PCE Deflator Oct. 2017: 0.1% U.S. inflationary pressures remain limited as the headline PCE deflator rose 0.1% between September and October. United States Personal Spending Oct. 2017: 0.1% Consumer spending growth moderated in October as September’s surge in vehicle spending was not repeated, but its trend remains healthy. United States Moody's Analytics Beige Book Index Oct. 2017: 147.2 The Moody's Analytics Beige Book Index came in with a rating of 147 for November’s edition of the Federal Reserve report, reaching its highest point in more than a decade. United States Jobless Claims November 25: 238,000 Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits provide further confirmation of a healthy labor market. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index November 24: -1.679 Financial stress conditions fell sharply to -1.68 as U.S. stocks posted modest gains. South Korea Foreign Trade Nov. 2017: United States Natural Gas Storage Report November 24: -33 bil cubic feet The decline in natural gas inventories was roughly in line with what industry analysts were expecting, which will have little effect on prices. Argentina Industrial Production - Advance Oct. 2017: 4.4% According to Argentina’s statistics office, industrial output expanded 4.4% y/y in October (NSA), up from 2.3% in the previous month. United States Agricultural Prices Oct. 2017: -5.2% Agricultural prices continued their downward slide in October. World Moody's Analytics Global HPI 2017Q3: 6.6% South Korea GDP 2017Q3: South Korea Consumer Price Index Nov. 2017: Japan Household Expenditures Survey Oct. 2017: Japan Consumer Price Index Oct. 2017: Japan Employment Situation Oct. 2017: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |