| Today's Economy
Boeing's Impact on U.S. Growth Issues with the 737 MAX are likely shaving tenths of a percentage point off GDP. LatAm Daily Briefing: China's Sniffles Give South America the Chills The slowdown in China has amplified the pressure on the struggling economies. Europe Daily Briefing: It's Not All Gloom and Doom Euro zone retail sales exceeded expectations in the third quarter. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Thailand Cuts Policy Rate to New Low The bank announced measures to control capital outflows. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Road to Recession: A New Phase The U.S. consumer is shouldering all the burden in preventing the slowing from turning into something worse. U.S. Chartbook: No Tricks, Just Treats Third-quarter output and October employment surprised to the upside. Student Loans and the Housing Market While U.S. homeownership has fallen and student debt has risen, the causal link is ambiguous. Stress-Testing States 2019 The overall results of the latest exercise relative to a year ago are unmistakably positive. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Thailand
Monetary Policy
Nov. 2019: 1.25%
The Bank of Thailand cut interest rates by 25 basis points, from 1.5% to 1.25%, in a widely expected move. Spain
Industrial Production
Sep. 2019: -0.8%
Spain’s industrial production reversed trend and declined 0.8% in September. Euro Zone
Retail Sales
Sep. 2019: 0.1%
In line with expectations, euro zone retail sales rose by 0.1% m/m in September, while August’s increase was revised up to 0.6% from 0.3%. Colombia
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2019: 3.9%
Colombia’s annual inflation rate accelerated again in October in part because of rising food and energy prices. United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
November 01: -0.1%
Mortgage applications ticked down 0.1% in the week ending November 1, with the refinance index and purchase index moving in opposite directions. United States
Productivity and Costs
2019Q3: -0.3%
U.S. productivity took a step back in the third quarter after posting solid gains in the first half of the year. Russian Federation
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2019: 0.1%
Russian inflation has slowed to below the central bank’s target pace. United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
November 01: 151.4
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index inched higher, from 151.3 to 151.4 in the week ended November 1. Canada
Purchasing Managers' Index
Oct. 2019: 48.2
The seasonally adjusted Ivey Purchasing Managers' Index dropped from 48.7 in September to 48.2 in October. United States
Oil Inventories
November 01: 446.8 mil barrels
A much larger than expected rise in oil inventories will put downward pressure on oil prices. Argentina
Industrial Production - Advance
Sep. 2019: -5.1%
Industrial output contracted 5.1% y/y in September (NSA) after a 6.4% y/y decline in the previous month. Australia
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2019:
Philippines
GDP
2019Q3:
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