Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, October 15, 2018

Today's Economy


U.S. Retail Sales Not as Weak as They Appear

Control sales posted a solid gain for the month of September.

Europe Daily Briefing: The Calm Days Are Still Far Off

The list of worries sent the FTSE 100 and the DAX to new lows.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: China's Putting on a Brave Face

PBoC Governor Yi is trying to reverse the bearish sentiment that's gathered pace.

A Neutral Federal Funds Rate Is Far From Universally Neutral

The range could set a top for one industry and put downward pressure on another.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Macro Outlook: Geopolitical Threats

The most immediate concern for investors is the escalating trade war.

U.S. Chartbook: Riding Out the Storm

The Fed is the likely catalyst for the recent selloff in U.S. equities, because it isn't tied to economic fundamentals.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 12, 2018

We are watching for the hurricane effects.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 12 October

Inflation pressures likely accelerated in the euro zone.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


World
Moody's Analytics Global GDP
2018Q2: 3.6%
Second quarter real global GDP growth was revised down a touch but it wasn’t significant enough to alter our assessment of how the global economy was doing.

Peru
Unemployment
Sep. 2018: 6.2%
The job market in the Lima metropolitan area remains on the mend despite slower economic growth in recent months.

United States
NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Oct. 2018: 21.1
Manufacturers in New York remain pleased with current conditions and optimistic about the future, with October's Empire State Manufacturing Survey revealing little movement compared with a month ago.

United States
Retail Sales
Sep. 2018: 0.1%
Retail sales growth was unexpectedly weak in September on broad-based weakness, some of which may have been related to Hurricane Florence’s devastation during the month.

Russian Federation
Industrial Production
Sep. 2018: 2.1%
Industrial production in Russia rose 2.1% year over year, yielding the lowest year-ago gain since December.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
October 12: 33.5
Sentiment among global businesses is good and consistent with the global economy growing just above its potential.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Aug. 2018: 0.5%
The inventory build is forging ahead.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Sep. 2018:

United States
Treasury Budget
Sep. 2018: $119.1 bil
September puts fiscal 2018 in the books.

India
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2018:

New Zealand
Consumer Price Index
2018Q3:

China
Producer Price Index
Sep. 2018:

China
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2018:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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