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Good morning from Brussels.

Several EU member states announced the suspension of procedures for granting refugee status to Syrian nationals following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime. However, many questions remain unanswered. 

Austria, Belgium, Czechia, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Sweden, and the Netherlands decided to halt the processing of Syrian asylum applications while France is considering doing the same. Greece will decide on Friday on the matter, which concerns 9,000 Syrian refugees currently in the country. 

There are two elements: Freezing ongoing applications and re-evaluating cases that were granted refugee status. 

In the first case, analysts told Nicoletta Ionta that the EU should avoid putting individuals in legal limbo, given that reassessing the situation in Syria may take months.

In the second case, the grounds on which refugee status was initially granted will be re-examined. For instance, adult males who qualified based on refusal of military service or political dissent may have to be reassessed, as the Assad regime is no longer in power.

Legally, the 1951 Refugee Convention suggests that the cessation of refugee status requires fundamental changes that are “enduring and not of a temporary nature”.

Politically, it’s too early for the EU to predict what will happen, so it simply calls for a “peaceful transition.” 

An EU spokesperson said on Monday that the bloc “is not currently engaging with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) or its leaders – full stop”.

HTS has been rooted in Syria's al-Qaeda branch but has distanced itself from the organisation over the years.

Some also call on the EU to engage further with Turkey, who supported the rebels against Assad, who Moscow backs. However, the Kurdish issue and the uncertain US stance make things more complex. 

Meanwhile, Russian experts told Euractiv the Syria loss is Putin’s “personal defeat” but warned that the Kremlin will try to negotiate with the new Syrian government to preserve its military bases.

What Europe risks losing amid the US-China trade war

In this episode, host Giada Santana and defense reporter Aurelie Pugnet discuss the latest escalation in the tit-for-tat between Beijing and Washington and what it implies for the Union. Listen here. 
Bubbling in Brussels
Click on the picture to read the story |  [Eric Vidal, © European Union 2024]

European People's Party insiders speak of increasing discontent with Chairman Manfred Weber, accusing him of putting his leadership before party and EU interests when handing socialist Commissioner Teresa Ribera's confirmation. 

Donald Tusk allegedly contacted Weber directly, angrily asking him to back down from his demands to Ribera.

On the economic front, Chinese companies condemned the EU’s “over-emphasis” on economic security on Monday, arguing that Brussels’ push to reduce its strategic dependence on Beijing will ultimately harm European consumers.

A ‘symbolic’ EU-UK meeting. Despite the lack of serious policy discussion, attendees described an overall positive atmosphere at a meeting on Monday between UK finance minister Rachel Reeves and EU finance ministers.  

Eurogroup President Paschal Donohoe described it as “very symbolic” and hoped it might be the first of several future gatherings as London seeks to “reset” its post-Brexit relationship with Brussels. 

He spoke about shared values, such as support for Ukraine, and noted that more concrete policy discussions—such as over fishing rights or a youth mobility scheme—should be left for future gatherings.

For her part, Reeves said the meeting “was not about starting a negotiation” but “the preliminary work that is needed to rebuild trust and to build relations after a very fractious and antagonistic few years of relationships between the UK and the EU.”

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UK
Click on the picture to read the story |  [Liam McBurney/PA Images via Getty Images]

BELFAST

The Northern Ireland Assembly will hold a crucial vote on Tuesday that will decide the fate of a cornerstone of the agreement struck between the United Kingdom and the European Union after Brexit. Read more.

Western Europe
Click on the picture to read the story |  [EPA-EFE/OLIVIER HOSLET]

PARIS

France’s budgetary crisis will be resolved, but challenges remain over Paris’ high debt levels and climbing deficit, Eurogroup President Paschal Donohoe said on Monday. Read more.

French left fractures are laid bare as search for new PM continues. The French New Popular Front (NFP) coalition is on the verge of collapse as its parties disagree on whether to engage in government negotiations while the Elysée eyes a centre-left to centre-right ‘general interest’ coalition. Read more.

Southern Europe
Click on the picture to read the story |  [Peter Kramer/NBC via Getty Images]

ROME

US President-elect Donald Trump's praise for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni in a recent New York Post interview has sparked a number of conversations in Italy. Read more.

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MADRID

Puigdemont threatens to torpedo 2025 budget as Sánchez can’t be trusted. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez cannot be trusted and must face a no-confidence vote, or the budget is at risk, said former Catalan president and leader of JxCat Carles Puigdmont. Read more.

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LISBON

Portugal to ban mobile phones in schools for years 1-6. Portugal will ban mobile phones in grades 1-6 from next year, Education, Science and Innovation Minister Fernando Alexandre announced on Monday, citing the negative effects on children. Read more.

Lufthansa Technik to open a factory in Portugal. Lufthansa Technik will open an engine and component repair facility in Santa Maria da Feira, Aveiro, creating 700 jobs and starting production at the end of 2027. Read more.

Eastern Europe
Click on the picture to read the story |  [EPA-EFE/OLIVIER HOSLET]

PRAGUE

The new European Commissioner for International Partnerships, Czech Jozef Síkela, wants more focused, data-driven and less ideological decision-making in the new Ursula von der Leyen European Commission. Read more.

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WARSAW

PiS-dominated Polish constitutional tribunal has a new head. Polish President Andrzej Duda appointed Bogdan Święczkowski as president of the Constitutional Tribunal, a body denounced as politicised by the previous ruling PiS (ECR) party. Read more.

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BRATISLAVA

Fico proposes 'COVID amnesty' and compensation for thousands of Slovaks. Slovakia's Prime Minister, Robert Fico, proposed a measure to forgive misdemeanours related to the COVID-19 pandemic, covering a period spanning 42 months. The intervention has been approved by the government and is currently pending parliamentary approval. Read more.

The Balkans

SOFIA

Romanian elections spark Bulgarian MPs to investigate Russian influence. Bulgarian lawmakers want a parliamentary commission to investigate Russian influence, Ivaylo Mirchev, a member of We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria told Euractiv. Read more.

Agenda
  • EU: Economic and Financial Affairs Council convenes to discuss energy taxation, Russia’s war against Ukraine, financial services and more;
  • Commission President Ursula von der Leyen receives President of Moldova Maia Sandu;
  • Agriculture and Food Commissioner Christophe Hansen delivers keynote speech at Agri-Food Days; Meets with European Investment Bank President Nadia Calviño;
  • Intergenerational Fairness, Youth, Culture and Sport Commissioner Glenn Micallef receives Minister of Culture and Strategic Communications of Ukraine Mykola Tochytskyi.

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[Edited by Sarantis Michalopoulos, Daniel Eck, Alice Taylor-Braçe]

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