05/12/24View in Browser
Inside the Commission's first 100 days

Dear readers,

Welcome to EU Politics Decoded, brought to you by Magnus Lund Nielsen. EU Politics Decoded is your essential guide for staying up-to-date with the Brussels bubble. Subscribe here.  

In today’s edition

  • 100 days and counting: The EU’s race towards competitiveness dominates the new executive’s to-do-list. 
  • Bits of the week: Europe in past tense, Sovereigntists do tech sovereignty, and Parliament gets a Christmas tree. 

With the European Parliament’s slow-motion confirmation of the new European Commission finally complete, this week’s EU Politics Decoded is diving into the first 100 days of the fresh executive. 

This week in news was no ordinary one – from once-in-a-half-century political upheaval in France and South Korea, to mass pro-EU demonstrations in Tbilisi, to President-elect Donald Trump’s increasingly interesting cabinet picks.  

For the author of a newsletter on the minutiae of EU politics, it was a week that brought some much-appreciated perspective – and allowed the saga around the confirmation of the new European Commission to be viewed, at last, in the rear-view mirror. 

Just to tie up that particular thread: very little came out of month-long tug-of-war between political groups in the European Parliament.

As predicted, EU lawmakers had little appetite to actually reject any nominees – instead, we were treated to a protracted, closed-door negotiation that yielded only title tweaks for a handful of commissioners, and Hungary’s Olivér Várhelyi having reproductive rights removed from his portfolio – even though the area already falls outside the EU’s competence.

Competitiveness, competitiveness, competitiveness

But now, we can look forward – and so too can Europe’s new leadership. The Commission will soon publish its work programme, outlining its priorities for the near and not-so-near future. 11 February has been pencilled in as the launch date for now, according to an internal Commission document seen by Euractiv.

We’ve also seen a draft of the programme – and unsurprisingly, competitiveness seems to be the focus. 

All the way back in her July bid for re-election, Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced a Clean Industrial Deal. This is shaping up to be a multi-layered plan to further slice European dependency on Russian energy imports, introduce a brand new “competitiveness fund”, and a “New Competitiveness Act” – all to come in the Commission’s first 100 days, Euractiv understands. 

Forged in the image of the EU’s 2021 climate law, the “New Competitiveness Act” will set benchmark targets reflective of the proposals in the Draghi report. In his hallmark paper, the former Italian prime minister delivered a solemn diagnosis of the EU’s inability to compete with its global counterparts. 

In January, the new Executive Vice-President for Prosperity and Industrial Strategy, Stéphane Sejourné, is due to present the annual Single Market and Competitiveness Report, and propose a Competitiveness Compass, to guide the direction of EU policymaking going forward. 

Playing politics with pharma and migration 

Also coming up early in the new Commission mandate is the Critical Medicines Act, focusing on securing fragile value chains for the EU’s pharmaceutical businesses.

Euractiv understands that some policymakers are pushing for the legislation to be done, or as close to done as possible, by mid-2025 – both out of an urgent need for new legislation and to avoid the file landing in the hands of the Danish presidency next July. The EU’s most valuable company, Novo Nordisk, is a pharmaceutical company headquartered in the Scandinavian country, prompting fears that national interests might take precedence should the Danes take the lead. 

The documents seen by Euractiv also confirm longstanding suspicions that the Commission will propose brand-new legislation on migrant returns. A recast of the current legislation has been stuck in the European Parliament’s civil rights committee for more than four years.

Facing mounting political pressure, the Commission now wants to start over. At his confirmation hearing, new migration chief Magnus Brunner had hinted at a new proposal to be announced by summer 2025, but the repeal of the recast is expected to happen sooner. 

Although there is plenty of work to be done, the new Commission may still get off to slow start. Two forthcoming events may stifle any major policy initiative in its infancy – or at least prompt a delay while the Commission re-assesses the lie of the political land: the return of Donald Trump to the White House in late January, and the German federal elections in February.  

Bits of the week

The Future is Europe no more: Familiar to many inside the Brussels bubble, a mural just down the road from the Commission’s headquarters read “The Future is Europe”. Now, to make way for a new Commission conference centre next door, the mural has been demolished. If only there was an EU journalist to point out the obvious metaphor. 

MEPs take shots at worse-for-wear cordon sanitaire: On Tuesday, lawmakers in the Parliament’s industry committee dealt responsibility for a report on technology sovereignty to the far-right group Europe of Sovereign Nations (ESN).  

Yet again, the cordon sanitairethe gentleman’s agreement among centrist parties not to cooperate with fringe forces on either end of the political spectrum – takes another hit.  

Jesus was a refugee! On Tuesday (3 December), Parliament President Roberta Metsola officiated the inauguration of the parliamentary nativity display. For each of the last 27 years, Austria’s centre-right Volkspartei (ÖVP) – part of Metsola’s European People’s Party – has arranged for a tree to be brought by train from the Alpine nation to the Parliament in Brussels.  

“There are traditions in this House that I look forward to every year, and this is undoubtedly one of my favourites,” said Metsola at the ceremony. As well as the 4.2 metre Nordman fir, from Jauerling in Lower Austria, the exhibition includes nativity scenes and other festive craftwork from Malta and Spain.  

Senior Green MEP Thomas Waitz joined his centre-right countrymen in celebrating the Austrian tradition, albeit with stern reminder: “Jesus was a refugee!” 

*Nicoletta Ionta and Nicholas Wallace contributed reporting. 

If you’d like to get in contact with tips, comments, and/or feedback, drop me a line at magnus.lundnielsen@euractiv.com.

[Edited by Owen Morgan]
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