Leaks, leaks, everywhere | Europe's losing its balance |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for November 2nd in 3:04 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Exxon reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, but it still made a loss
  2. There are three incoming factors that could give cheap-looking “value” stocks a massive boost – Read Now
  3. The European Central Bank is expected to pump even more money into the eurozone's economy in December
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Leaking Havoc

Leaking Havoc

What’s Going On Here?

Exxon reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings on Friday, sure, but it’s still playing patch-up after its third quarterly loss in a row.

What Does This Mean?

With fewer gas guzzlers on the roads taking people to work, school, and macramé classes, a lot less gas has been guzzled lately. And that’s not just crushed demand for oil: it’s crushed demand for Exxon’s oil, which led the company lose $680 million last quarter.

Exxon already announced it’d be reducing investments in oil production by $10 billion a few months ago, but now it’s going to have to tighten its belt even more – by another $7 billion, in fact. It’s planning to lay off 1,900 people in its US business too, which comes hot on the heels of European layoffs earlier this month. And it’s not through yet: the company thinks it could end up laying off as much as 15% of its entire global workforce (tweet this).

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Not oil companies are created equal.
Oil demand might be having a tough time, but Exxon seems to be having more trouble than its rivals keeping things under control. Just look at Shell – which reported better-than-expected earnings late last week – and both America’s Chevron and France’s Total, which got back to posting profits.

The bigger picture: Stick with us, kid.
Oil companies like Exxon tend to have volatile share prices, but they’re good at keeping investors on side by offering dividends. So it’s probably no surprise that Exxon’s doing all it can to keep its payouts intact. And while this was the first time since 1982 that it didn’t raise its dividend, beggars can’t exactly be choosers: Shell was forced to reduce its dividend earlier on in the year. That might explain why, this year, its share price has performed the worst of all the oil majors mentioned here...  

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2/3 Premium

Value Stocks Are About To Get A Shove

What’s Going On Here?

Optimistic investors have been waiting for something, anything, to drive cheap-looking value stocks higher, and Carl’s landed on the three factors that might actually make that happen – and when.

Get Carl’s insight with Finimize Premium

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Ready, Willing, And Stable

Ready, Willing, And Stable

What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Friday showed the eurozone economy grew by more than expected in the third quarter – and investors are expecting the European Central Bank (ECB) to do all it can to keep things steady.

What Does This Mean?

Europeans didn’t have quite as many social restrictions to worry about over the summer, which goes some way to explain why Europe’s economy rebounded last quarter. But now that two of its biggest contributors – France and Germany – are back in lockdown and circling the second-recession drain, there are more and more doubts it’ll be able to keep growing. Even the ECB seems to have them: the central bank hinted on Thursday that it might need to pump even more money into the region in December – by buying bonds and lowering interest rates – to stimulate economic growth.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming out: No checks, no balances.
The US reported pleasantly surprising economic growth late last week too, but it still has plenty of challenges ahead. For one thing, rising coronavirus cases are threatening to put the economy on pause again, just like they have done in Europe. And for another, the US government’s stopped writing the checks that have been juicing consumer spending, and no one knows when – or even if – they’re coming back again.

For you personally: Extreme investing.
With grim economic expectations threatening financial markets all over again, your best laid portfolio plans could end up going awry. That’s why some strategists think you should protect your investments using the “barbell strategy”. That’s where you go for two opposite ends of the investing spectrum at the same time, and avoid the middle ground altogether. You might want to, say, go for cheap, beaten-up stocks like energy and finance on the one end, and expensive, high-growth sectors like tech on the other.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Power is the ability not to have to please.”

– Elizabeth Janeway (an American author and critic)
Tweet this
🤔 Q&A · RE: Unloved Actually

“Why does the Bank of England buy government bonds in the open market to support the economy, and not directly from the UK government?”

– Elleisha

“In times of emergency – like, say, this pandemic – central banks often do actually bypass other investors and lend directly to governments. But what you’re talking about here, Elleisha, is ‘quantitative easing’, where central banks agree to buy up government bonds from other investors, rather than from governments themselves. One of the main reasons is that it aims to lower borrowing costs for everyone involved. Here’s why: an increase in demand for publicly available government bonds pushes their prices up and yields down (the two always move inversely), and lower yields – which investors use to help determine the interest rates of new government and corporate bonds – typically mean lower interest rates. That (theoretically) encourages more borrowing, money which is then spent on economy-boosting activities. So if a central bank directly bankrolled a government’s borrowing, it’d lose out on all those rate-lowering effects that help the wider economy.”

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Image credits: Smit, Milano Art, Dario Lo Presti, Oil and Gas Photographer, Tim photo-video, Ian 2010 - Shutterstock | MNStudio, Alexandros Michailidis - Shutterstock

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