Hey there, nil! The kitchen is absolutely buzzing today as rumors of Trump potentially naming Powell's successor early have investors salivating over faster rate cuts! Markets are hunting for fresh records while the dollar gets served a cold dish of weakness. With Fed independence concerns seasoning every trade and rate cut bets getting spicier by the hour, let's dig into this market feast that's got everyone talking about monetary policy appetites! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! š - Dan
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China takes action on key US fentanyl demands ahead of diplomatic discussions Israeli attacks kill at least 21 people in Gaza, according to medical sourcesFrance intercepted drones targeting Israel prior to the Iran ceasefire agreementTrump announces that the US to hold nuclear talks with Iran scheduled for next week Thai PM and former Cambodian leader visit disputed border as tensions simmerChina's military vows boosted combat readiness following the Taiwan president's speechesNorth Korea may deploy additional troops to Russia in July-August for the Ukraine conflict EU leaders debate backing a quick US trade deal versus seeking improved termsGlobal cocaine boom continues setting new records, according to UN report |
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Chef's Pick: Monetary Policy Main Course |
FOUR looks like a stealātrading at just 2.29x EV/Sales with top-tier 45.7% EBITDA margins. Its integration strategy is already delivering $20M in synergies, with $80M more expected from the Global Blue deal by 2027. With a $216 target and 135% upside, this payments platform is seriously underpriced. (Price at call: $93.57, Current price: $97.24, Analyst expectation: $120) |
LifeMD (NASDAQ: LFMD) This telehealth platform is serving up a rare profitability feast that competitors can't match! With 290,000 active subscribers and GAAP profitability achieved at a fraction of Hims' subscriber count (300K vs 1.5M), LFMD shows incredible operating leverage. The Novo Nordisk-Hims breakup actually creates an opportunity for LifeMD's dual partnerships with both Novo and Eli Lilly. Trading much cheaper than HIMS on an EV/GP basis while growing faster than Teladoc. Target price $14.40 represents compelling value in profitable telehealth! (Current price: $12.84, Analyst expectation: $20) |
Fed Independence Positioning: Early Powell replacement speculation signals potential shift in monetary policy appetite. Recipe: Position for more aggressive rate cuts as political pressure mounts on Fed independence. Financial sector and rate-sensitive stocks could benefit from steeper yield curve expectations. Dollar Weakness Opportunity: Greenback's decline on Fed speculation creates international investing appetite. Recipe: Consider emerging market and international equity exposure as dollar headwinds ease. Export-heavy companies particularly benefit from weaker dollar seasoning. Record Hunt Strategy: S&P 500 within striking distance of fresh highs as rate cut optimism builds momentum. Recipe: Use any pullbacks as entry opportunities in growth sectors that benefit most from lower rates. Technology and real estate are particularly sensitive to rate expectations. Telehealth Consolidation Play: Novo Nordisk's Hims partnership termination creates market share opportunities for remaining players. Recipe: Focus on platforms with multiple drug manufacturer relationships and proven profitability models. LifeMD's dual partnerships provide a competitive moat that others lack. Geopolitical Diversification: Iran nuclear talks and ongoing Middle East tensions require defensive positioning alongside growth plays. Recipe: Maintain some energy exposure and defense contractors as geopolitical insurance while emphasizing domestic growth stories less affected by international complications. |
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EntrĆ©e: Professional Insight into the āOne Big Beautiful Bill Act.ā |
Trumpās $11 Trillion Promise: Boom or Bust? |
Could one bill really shrink the deficit by $11.1 trillion and send GDP soaring nearly 5%? Thatās the White House pitch for Trumpās āOne Big Beautiful Bill Act.ā In a 27-page report, top economic adviser Stephen Miran unveiled projections that claim Americaās debt-to-GDP ratio could improve and family incomes could riseāif everything goes just right. The core logic? Business tax breaks fuel corporate investment, which then ignites massive GDP growth. That growth, the White House insists, drives nearly half the projected deficit drop. Add in deep spending cuts, long-term tariffs, and deregulatory pushes, and voilĆ āmulti-trillion-dollar savings. But is this economic alchemy or just a dazzling campaign sales pitch? Independent models like Penn-Wharton, CBO, and the Tax Foundation arenāt buying it. Their growth estimates hover closer to 1%, and their projected cost? Up to $4 trillion added to the deficit. Even some Republicans are skeptical, as unresolved Senate fightsāon SALT deductions and Medicaidāthreaten to balloon the billās price tag. Still, with a looming debt ceiling deadline and Wall Street watching, pressureās rising. The Senate gears up for a vote, but the gap between political optimism and economic reality has rarely looked wider. |
USD News: Final GDP q/q ā Actual: -0.2% | Forecast: -0.2%Unemployment Claims ā Actual: 244K | Forecast: 245KCore Durable Goods Orders m/m ā Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% Durable Goods Orders m/m ā Actual: 8.6% | Forecast: -6.3%Final GDP Price Index q/q ā Actual: 3.7% | Forecast: 3.7%FOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksGoods Trade Balance ā Actual: -86.3B | Forecast: -87.0BPrelim Wholesale Inventories m/m ā Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.2%FOMC Member Barkin SpeaksFOMC Member Daly SpeaksFOMC Member Hammack Speaks Pending Home Sales m/m ā Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: -6.3%Natural Gas Storage ā Actual: 88B | Forecast: 95BFOMC Member Barr Speaks Major earnings expected today: Nike (NKE ā¬ļø 0.7% premarket): Sports apparel giant reports fiscal Q4 after the bell. Analysts expect earnings to take a beating from new CEO Elliott Hill's drastic turnaround measures for the struggling sneaker maker. Market watching for transformation progress signals.McCormick: Spice and seasoning company serves up quarterly resultsWalgreens Boots Alliance: Pharmacy chain reports amid ongoing retail pharmacy challengesAcuity: Insurance provider delivers quarterly performance updateConcentrix: Technology services company reports results |
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India-US Trade Talks Hit Roadblock: Negotiations stalled over auto component, steel, and farm goods duties ahead of Trump's July 9 deadline. India's agricultural dependence makes steep tariff cuts politically difficult despite US pressure for greater market access. China AI Chip Funding Surge: Biren Technology raises $207M in fresh funding while preparing Hong Kong IPO. Beijing is prioritizing domestic GPU alternatives amid US export restrictions on advanced semiconductors. Trump Media Stock Plunge: DJT shares down nearly 50% since election despite Truth Social becoming presidential communication platform. Many shareholders are sitting on sizable losses despite Trump's White House return and platform usage. Pine Labs India IPO Filing: Fintech firm seeks $304M through fresh shares with existing backers including Peak XV and PayPal selling up to 147.8M shares. Proceeds are earmarked for overseas expansion and technology development. Nvidia Hits Fresh Record: AI chipmaker rises 4% to new high of $154.31, completing remarkable 2025 turnaround. Stock's resurgence following Q1 earnings beat shows continued AI demand despite China export restrictions. Xiaomi's EV Expansion: Chinese tech giant unveils first electric SUV as shares near record high following 64% surge this year. Company now valued at $187B, exceeding Chinese EV leader BYD as auto market footprint grows. EU Rejects Big Tech Bargaining: Competition chief Teresa Ribera refuses to trade Digital Markets Act enforcement for tariff relief. EU maintains regulatory independence stance despite Trump administration pressure on Silicon Valley crackdowns. Chinese Soymeal Deal: Feed makers book first Argentine soymeal purchase since 2019 import approval - 30,000 metric tons for July shipment. The deal signals renewed trade appetite between the world's biggest consumer and top exporter. |
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The crypto secretly saving AI video startups (under $5) |
Something doesn't add up. Small AI video startups are suddenly launching tools that rival Google's Veo 3. Almost the same quality. Same speed. Fraction of the budget. Google spends hundreds of millions on compute infrastructure. How are 10-person teams competing? The answer: crypto. Specificallyāone coin. There's a parallel computing network most investors have never heard of. The economics are insane. Instead of paying Google or AWS markup, startups get raw compute at market rates. Up to 80% cost savings. Massive scalability. But here's what got my attention: This network is tokenized. Every job gets validated on-chain. Pay-as-you-render pricing. No vendor lock-in. The token that powers it trades under $5. The network already processes enterprise workloadsā¦Discover our #1 crypto for the market right now (solves one of AIās biggest challenges?) Most crypto investors are missing the infrastructure play that could capture a massive slice of the AI video industry's compute spend. This is pre-explosion positioning. Before Hollywood goes 100% AI. Before every content creator needs this power. Before institutional money floods in. The token is still cheap. The network is proven. The adoption is accelerating. Check it out by going here now. |
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H.B. Fuller (FUL ā¬ļø 10%): Adhesive maker serves up a delicious surprise with raised FY2025 outlook despite mixed Q2 results. Now expecting revenue decline of just 2-3% versus prior 2-4% drop, while adjusted EPS guidance jumps to $4.10-4.30 (above $4.08 consensus). Analyst bite: Strong execution offsetting challenging industrial backdrop. Worthington Steel (WS ā¬ļø 14%): Steel processor delivers a feast with better-than-expected FQ4 results, overcoming 9% revenue decline. The CEO highlighted solid execution on the Sitem acquisition and electrical steel investments amid a mixed economic backdrop. Analyst bite: Strategic initiatives are driving market share gains despite pricing pressure. Kratos Defense (KTOS ā¬ļø 6%): Defense contractor gets served a reality check after announcing $500M public offering plus $75M option for underwriters. All proceeds are earmarked for national security programs and strategic acquisitions. Analyst bite: Dilution concerns overshadow the growth investment story. Nvidia (NVDA ā¬ļø 1% premarket): AI chip king extends record-breaking feast after closing at all-time high of $154.31 with $3.765 trillion market cap, overtaking Microsoft. Wednesday's 4.3% surge positions the company as the most valuable US firm while shares climb 15% year-to-date. Analyst bite: AI demand driving unprecedented valuation leadership. Micron Technology (MU ā¬ļø 2.4%): Memory chip maker serves up delicious Q3 results with adjusted earnings crushing estimates and revenue jumping 37% to $9.3B. High-bandwidth memory revenue surged 50% quarter-over-quarter while Q4 guidance of $10.4-11B tops $9.9B consensus. Analyst bite: Data center doubling driving memory demand acceleration. Tesla (TSLA ā¬ļø 0.4%): EV maker attempts recovery after yesterday's 3.8% decline on weak European sales data. May deliveries in Europe dropped 28% to 13,863 units while overall regional EV sales jumped 25%, highlighting market share concerns. Analyst bite: European weakness contrasting with broader EV market growth. Coinbase (COIN ā¬ļø 1.5% premarket): Crypto exchange extends Wednesday's 3.1% rally to $355.37 - highest close since November 2021. June gains of 44% position stock for the best month since November 2024, boosted by the Senate's Genius Act stablecoin clarity. Analyst bite: Regulatory clarity driving institutional confidence. BP ADRs (ā¬ļø 0.9%): Oil giant gets served a cold dish as WSJ reports Shell considering acquisition approach. BP "considering carefully" while talks progress slowly, though Shell spokesperson denies active discussions as "market speculation." Analyst bite: Consolidation speculation heating up energy sector. Jefferies Financial (ā¬ļø 2.5% after-hours): Investment bank disappoints with Q2 earnings miss and declining net revenue of $1.63B. Management cites "significant uncertainty" from US policy and geopolitical events slowing activity levels for two months. Analyst bite: Investment banking headwinds persisting despite market optimism. |
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ETF Gainers: Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF (ā¬ļø 17.74%): Server optimism getting leveraged love GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF (ā¬ļø 17.15%): Double helping of recovery momentumAdvisorShares MSOS Daily Leveraged ETF (ā¬ļø 13.16%): Cannabis sector getting fresh appetiteLeverage Shares 2X Long NVDA Daily ETF (ā¬ļø 9.05%): Nvidia's record run continuesGraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF (ā¬ļø 8.74%): AI chip feast extends across platforms ETF Losers: Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (ā¬ļø 17.60%): Betting against servers backfired badlyDefiance Daily Target 2x Long OKLO ETF (ā¬ļø 16.96%): Nuclear energy cooling off Tradr 2X Long ACHR Daily ETF (ā¬ļø 14.22%): Aviation tech losing altitudeDefiance Daily Target 2X Long IONQ ETF (ā¬ļø 13.30%): Quantum computing is losing quantum momentumGraniteShares 2x Long IONQ Daily ETF (ā¬ļø 12.69%): Quantum dreams getting reality check |
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š„” Go Solar with $0 Net Cost! Many homeowners qualify for solar with **$0 Net Cost**, meaning you can start saving on energy costs right awayāwithout a big investment. Check your options.
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: China takes action on key U.S. fentanyl demands ā Reuters Israeli attacks kill at least 21 people in Gaza, medics say ā Reuters France says it intercepted drones targeting Israel before Iran ceasefire ā Reuters Fragile ceasefire holding; Trump envoy says peace talks with Iran 'promising' ā Reuters Thai, Cambodian leaders visit disputed border as tensions simmer ā Reuters Chinaās military vows to boost combat readiness after Taiwan presidentās speeches ā Reuters North Korea may send more troops to Russia by July or August, Seoul says ā Reuters EU to canvass leaders at summit on resolving U.S. tariff conflict ā Reuters Global cocaine boom keeps setting new records, UN report says ā Reuters Stock Market News Today ā BarronāsStock movers ā Barronās Biggest stock movers Thursday: FUL, KTOS, and more ā Seeking Alpha Factbox: Key issues in India-U.S. relations ā Yahoo Finance China AI chip firm Biren faces fresh export woes ā Yahoo Finance Trump Media stock plunged nearly 20% on trading volatility ā Yahoo Finance Fintech firm Pine Labs files for U.S. IPO ā Yahoo Finance Nvidia stock notches fresh record high in remarkable 2025 turnaround ā Yahoo Finance Chinaās Xiaomi to launch first SUV model this year ā Yahoo Finance EUās Ribera: Wonāt trade climate policies for energy support ā Yahoo Finance Exclusive: Chinese feed makers sign record deal to buy Brazilian corn ā Yahoo Finance |
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Want to snag a $50 gift card? Itās easy! Just open 5 Market Munchies emails by Friday, June 27 to enter. šØ Entries close at 11:59 PM sharp, so donāt miss out! The lucky winner will be randomly selected and notified via email with their prize.
Good luck! |
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