Trading Range Restored. Big Data on Deck Today's trading was almost a carbon copy of yesterday's with overnight losses, an AM reversal, and gradual improvement that leveled off in the PM hours. With those gains, 10yr yields made a full round trip back to the lower boundary of the pre-tariff trading range of 4.19-4.34.  That doesn't mean anything about the future, but it's an interesting reflection on the recent past. White House comments on Amazon hit stocks early, but everything bounced back even before Amazon clarified its position. Econ data helped bonds hold or add to gains (Confidence and Job Openings). Data gets incrementally more important over the next 3 days, and volatility gets incrementally more likely to pick back up.  Econ Data / EventsWholesale Inventories0.5 vs 0.7 f'cast, 0.3 prev Job Openings7.192m vs 7.48m f'cast 7.48m prev Consumer Confidence86.0 vs 87.5 f'cast, 92.9 prev Market Movement Recap08:49 AM Modestly weaker overnight and little-changed so far this morning.  MBS down an eighth and 10yr up 2.2bps at 4.229 09:50 AM Additional gains.  10yr down 1bp at 4.198 and MBS unchanged. 02:03 PM Holding sideways at best levels.  MBS up an eighth and 10yr down 3.7bps at 4.171
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April 29, 2025
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MBS Commentary
Trading Range Restored. Big Data on Deck Today's trading was almost a carbon copy of yesterday's with overnight losses, an AM reversal, and gradual improvement that leveled off in the PM hours. With those gai... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
It's now been more than a week since mortgage rates ended the day higher than the previous day.  And we haven't recovered quite as much lost ground as 10yr Treasury yields, we're getting pretty close to fully re-entering the narrow range that pe... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
My cat Myrtle was always interested in both the primary and secondary markets… for line-caught halibut. In residential lending, the secondary markets shouldn’t be a mystery to anyone. Did you know that Fair Housing laws apply to the secondary markets... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries