Bonds Undergoing a Bit of a Reset 3 weeks ago, the Fed voted to cut rates by 0.50%. Traders had rushed to get in position for that, so a small "reset" followed as the market waited for the most important vote. The vote in question was on whether or not the market was ahead of itself in mid September and it was cast by last Friday's jobs report. When marquis reports coincide with big changes in Fed policy, and when Fed policy changes had a lot to do with the past two examples of the marquis report in question, and when the marquis report not only offers a completely different message from the past two, but also revises the past two in a way that casts doubt on the extent of the Fed's decision, you get exactly what we've seen since Friday morning. It's a firm rejection of mid-September's rates and a wake-up call that rates can still move higher, but not the same sort of watershed moment seen in 2013 before the taper tantrum. Barring unforeseen exogenous shocks, we'll now need another weak jobs report (or two or three) before re-challenging the mid-September floor. Market Movement Recap11:29 AM Weaker overnight and flat since then. MBS down almost 3/8ths and 10yr up 5.6bps at 4.014 02:03 PM very low volatility at weaker levels. MBS and Treasuries unchanged from pervious update. 03:52 PM A bit more weakness in Treasuries with 10yr up 7.1 bps at 4.029. MBS still down 3/8ths.
| MBS Commentary | | Bonds Undergoing a Bit of a Reset | | Bonds Undergoing a Bit of a Reset 3 weeks ago, the Fed voted to cut rates by 0.50%. Traders had rushed to get in position for that, so a small "reset" followed as the market waited for the most imp... (read more) |
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| Mortgage Rate Watch | | Highest Mortgage Rates in 2 Months | | It's been a strange and frustrating couple of weeks for anyone who mistakenly believed that mortgage rates would move lower after the Fed rate cut. To be sure, there is plenty of that sentiment out there according to the just released Fannie Ma... (read more) |
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| 30 Yr. Fixed Rate | | 6.62% +0.09% |
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| Rate | Change | Points |
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| Mortgage News Daily | | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.62% | +0.09 | 0.00 | | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.12% | +0.24 | 0.00 | | 30 Yr. FHA | 6.12% | +0.08 | 0.00 | | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 6.75% | +0.15 | 0.00 | | 7/6 SOFR ARM | 6.55% | +0.20 | 0.00 | | 30 Yr. VA | 6.15% | +0.09 | 0.00 | | Updates Daily - Last Update: 10/7 |
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| 15 Yr. Fixed Rate | | 6.12% +0.24% |
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| Rate | Change | Points |
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| Freddie Mac | | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.12% | +0.04 | 0.00 | | 15 Yr. Fixed | 5.25% | +0.09 | 0.00 | | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 10/3 |
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| Mortgage Bankers Assoc. | | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.13% | -0.03 | 0.57 | | 15 Yr. Fixed | 5.47% | +0.05 | 0.52 | | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 6.47% | +0.06 | 0.50 | | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 9/25 |
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| Price / Yield | Change |
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| MBS | | UMBS 5.0 | 98.88 | -0.33 | | UMBS 5.5 | 100.36 | -0.23 | | GNMA 5.0 | 99.47 | -0.26 | | GNMA 5.5 | 100.52 | -0.09 | | Pricing as of: 10/7 5:31PM EST |
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| 10 Year US Treasury | | 4.0207 +0.0627 |
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| Price / Yield | Change |
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| US Treasury | | 2 YR Treasury | 3.989 | +0.069 | | 5 YR Treasury | 3.859 | +0.059 | | 7 YR Treasury | 3.922 | +0.064 | | 10 YR Treasury | 4.021 | +0.063 | | 30 YR Treasury | 4.299 | +0.055 | | Pricing as of: 10/7 5:31PM EST |
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